NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	104		Excitement	3.2 [1151]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +16.9%
Boston Celtics	88		Comeback	1.2 [1157]		LVP	Kelly Olynyk (BOS): -8.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.03	-0.02	21	65%	0.19	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0.06	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	0.01	0.08	13	77%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	53%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
James Michael McAdoo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	11	42%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Ian Clark	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Patrick McCaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	20	40%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	12	55%	0.05	1	-0.01	9	100%	0.03
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.10	6	36%	0.03	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	5	79%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
James Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Demetrius Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Mickey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	11	27%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.07	9	55%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	0.06	15	53%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	508.7	1.6	27.5	17.2	25.6	3.4	27.6	611.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +37.2%

BOS -6.9%

GSW +14.5%

GSW +3.4%

GSW +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	BOS	NBA	GSW	BOS	NBA
this game	13.9	15.9	14.8	108.3	90.7	107.7
season	13.5	14.7		114.9	110.1
opponent	14.9	15.1		108.3	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.9	14.2	13.7	14.9	13.9
BOS	16.4	14.0	19.0	14.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	65	65	0.70	-0.20	0.90	-0.12	28	-12	40	12.8	16.4	-3.57	15.8	16.0	-0.20
Kevin Durant	68	68	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.27	32	-16	48	13.3	15.5	-2.26	15.8	16.0	-0.20
Zaza Pachulia	42	42	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.16	19	-3	22	13.0	14.7	-1.67	17.1	15.0	2.16
Stephen Curry	71	72	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.20	19	-3	22	13.6	14.8	-1.17	16.5	14.1	2.39
Draymond Green	70	70	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	2	12	13.5	15.2	-1.67	16.5	14.4	2.12
Andre Iguodala	43	44	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	17	-18	14.4	13.5	0.87	15.2	16.5	-1.35
David West	27	29	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	15	-14	14.6	13.7	0.91	14.8	16.4	-1.57
Shaun Livingston	37	36	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.40	-12	28	-40	15.1	13.2	1.82	15.0	16.4	-1.43
Ian Clark	13	14	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	14	-12	16.8	13.5	3.36	15.1	16.0	-0.96
James Michael McAdoo	14	14	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	24	-32	16.4	13.5	2.92	15.9	15.9	0.04
Patrick McCaw	30	31	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.22	-14	30	-44	15.9	13.0	2.90	15.2	16.2	-0.99

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Young	25	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.38	13	-29	42	14.5	16.4	-1.91	14.9	13.6	1.31
Jonas Jerebko	30	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.18	-7	-9	2	16.6	15.6	0.97	13.4	14.2	-0.80
Tyler Zeller	45	45	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.36	11	-27	38	15.6	16.2	-0.64	15.6	12.5	3.05
Gerald Green	31	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.06	-4	-12	8	15.8	15.9	-0.13	15.1	13.4	1.73
Jaylen Brown	47	45	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.30	8	-24	32	15.2	16.5	-1.29	15.1	12.9	2.13
Jordan Mickey	6	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.25	-11	-5	-6	20.0	15.6	4.37	8.7	14.3	-5.62
Terry Rozier	50	49	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.13	2	-18	20	15.7	16.1	-0.45	15.3	12.5	2.80
Amir Johnson	34	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-7	-2	15.9	15.9	0.02	12.7	14.6	-1.84
Isaiah Thomas	57	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.20	-20	4	-24	16.6	14.9	1.65	12.9	15.5	-2.61
Marcus Smart	51	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.18	-21	5	-26	16.4	15.3	1.13	12.6	15.4	-2.79
Kelly Olynyk	36	37	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.12	-20	4	-24	15.8	15.9	-0.10	13.6	14.2	-0.60
Avery Bradley	73	72	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.00	-22	6	-28	15.7	16.5	-0.75	13.6	14.9	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 101, LAC 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
HOU 137, BKN 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
MIA 109, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%