NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	85		Excitement	5.4 [749]		MVP	Rudy Gobert (UTA): +7.5%
Utah Jazz	77		Comeback	1.9 [401]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): -23.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	6	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.01	17	47%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	19	45%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Denzel Valentine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Canaan	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	16	31%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	10	27%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	9	80%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	4	90%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	-0.08	16	35%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	11	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	6	25%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.15	-0.09	-0.01	15	24%	-0.17	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	3.0	31.3	18.3	22.3	3.6	33.4	134.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +13.7%

UTA -0.8%

CHI +16.5%

CHI +16.2%

CHI +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	UTA	NBA	CHI	UTA	NBA
this game	16.8	15.7	14.8	96.6	86.5	107.7
season	15.1	16.1		105.9	108.0
opponent	15.0	14.8		105.0	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.7	15.1	15.3	20.6	16.8
UTA	16.0	13.2	18.1	16.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	60	61	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.06	14	-6	20	16.5	17.4	-0.91	16.3	14.5	1.81
Jimmy Butler	74	74	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.38	-2	10	-12	17.2	14.5	2.74	15.3	18.0	-2.72
Robin Lopez	70	70	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	9	-10	17.4	14.3	3.11	15.3	17.5	-2.27
Denzel Valentine	27	29	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	2	4	15.7	17.3	-1.54	16.3	15.4	0.89
Isaiah Canaan	48	50	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	1	6	16.8	16.8	0.01	15.1	16.6	-1.46
Taj Gibson	51	50	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	4	0	16.8	16.9	-0.10	15.2	16.4	-1.14
Nikola Mirotic	37	39	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	4	0	16.9	16.8	0.10	16.4	15.2	1.14
Bobby Portis	18	19	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	-1	10	14.3	17.4	-3.11	17.5	15.3	2.27
Jerian Grant	55	53	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	9	-10	17.1	16.4	0.66	16.0	15.4	0.64

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	42	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-3	-2	16.2	15.4	0.80	15.3	18.2	-2.91
Joe Ingles	13	14	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	0	-8	17.8	15.4	2.46	16.4	16.9	-0.45
Jeff Withey	13	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	0	-8	16.8	15.6	1.29	13.7	17.3	-3.54
Dante Exum	64	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-11	14	15.2	17.0	-1.75	17.2	15.8	1.40
Trey Lyles	35	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-8	8	16.5	15.2	1.32	18.1	16.0	2.04
Shelvin Mack	25	23	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	3	-14	17.0	15.2	1.75	15.6	17.2	-1.68
Joe Johnson	41	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-3	-2	15.8	15.7	0.12	17.1	16.6	0.58
Rudy Gobert	74	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.38	2	-10	12	15.3	18.0	-2.72	17.2	14.5	2.74
Gordon Hayward	74	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.38	2	-10	12	15.3	18.0	-2.72	17.2	14.5	2.74
Rodney Hood	64	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.14	-10	2	-12	15.4	16.6	-1.25	16.7	17.2	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 98, BKN 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	94.3%
GSW 92, LAC 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.1%
DAL 95, NOK 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.17,0.12,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.1%