NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	98		Excitement	4.6 [912]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +14.7%
Brooklyn Nets	90		Comeback	1.6 [449]		LVP	Deron Williams (BKN): -18.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.05	-0.01	14	65%	0.15	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.04	0.01	12	67%	0.15	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	12	63%	0.08	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	-0.00	-0.03	9	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jae Crowder	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	8	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.04	0.03	7	64%	0.02	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	56%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.06	14	61%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	12	46%	0.03	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	0.05	9	58%	-0.02	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.08,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.05	-0.10	0.03	18	56%	0.05	7	-0.24	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	1.8	27.6	14.8	23.4	2.4	36.6	128.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +29.7%

DAL +0.9%

DAL +0.1%

DAL +18.5%

DAL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	BKN	NBA	DAL	BKN	NBA
this game	15.0	15.8	15.4	104.3	96.8	104.1
season	14.5	16.5		104.3	106.5
opponent	15.4	15.6		104.2	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.0	14.3	15.2	16.5	15.0
BKN	15.5	17.0	16.1	14.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
O.J. Mayo	73	73	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.34	4	4	0	14.4	17.0	-2.63	15.8	16.0	-0.19
Shawn Marion	62	62	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-4	16	13.9	17.0	-3.10	15.7	16.2	-0.52
Mike James	44	44	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.02	12	-4	16	16.0	14.0	1.96	15.7	16.0	-0.32
Dirk Nowitzki	66	62	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	4	0	15.8	13.1	2.69	16.3	14.9	1.42
Elton Brand	50	48	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	7	-6	15.9	13.9	2.01	15.5	16.2	-0.68
Vince Carter	54	56	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.17	3	5	-2	15.1	14.7	0.45	15.6	16.3	-0.74
Chris Kaman	44	45	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	1	6	13.9	15.9	-2.01	16.2	15.5	0.68
Darren Collison	50	49	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.24	-4	12	-16	14.0	16.0	-1.96	16.0	15.7	0.32
Jae Crowder	27	26	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	7	-6	16.6	14.3	2.35	15.9	15.8	0.05

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	27	26	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.05	4	-12	16	16.3	15.7	0.58	14.7	15.1	-0.37
MarShon Brooks	5	4	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	-7	6	17.4	15.8	1.64	17.2	14.9	2.39
Brook Lopez	66	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.37	7	-15	22	15.1	17.7	-2.61	14.7	15.7	-1.00
CJ Watson	51	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.24	1	-9	10	15.2	16.6	-1.36	15.6	14.2	1.42
Keith Bogans	51	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-8	8	15.7	16.0	-0.27	16.0	13.8	2.22
Reggie Evans	37	40	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.02	-9	1	-10	16.5	15.4	1.01	14.0	15.7	-1.71
Gerald Wallace	42	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	0	-8	16.0	15.7	0.27	13.8	16.0	-2.22
Mirza Teletovic	28	28	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-5	2	14.9	16.3	-1.37	16.6	14.3	2.35
Joe Johnson	58	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.07	-13	5	-18	16.9	14.1	2.74	14.3	16.1	-1.75
Andray Blatche	27	27	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.10	-15	7	-22	17.7	15.1	2.61	15.7	14.7	1.00
Deron Williams	73	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	-5	2	15.3	18.0	-2.74	14.9	15.1	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, GSW 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0	94.4%
CHI 85, UTA 77	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0,0	94.3%
SEA 102, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%