NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	115		Excitement	10.2 [56]		MVP	Jeff Teague (IND): +41.7%
Indiana Pacers	122		Comeback	25.9 [110]		LVP	Sergio Rodriguez (PHI): -38.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.35	0.02	0.32	-0.01	14	61%	0.50	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.12	0.15	-0.03	12	73%	0.36	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Dario Saric	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.03	0.07	0.02	9	70%	0.17	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Robert Covington	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.07	0.16	-0.06	0.02	16	68%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
TJ McConnell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	7	56%	0.14	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Richaun Holmes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	4	58%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	0%	-0.08
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	6	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nik Stauskas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.07	0.00	11	56%	-0.00	2	-0.05	5	20%	-0.08
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.37,-0.38	-0.23	-0.17	-0.01	14	7%	-0.34	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.12,0.31,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.20	0.25	0.03	16	71%	0.44	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.03
Paul George	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,0.12,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.22	0.22	0.06	0.20	0.03	23	61%	0.41	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.11	0.01	10	68%	0.23	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.00	12	75%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	7	67%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.03	-0.01	9	50%	0.07	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	32.3	15.7	23.2	2.3	34.4	2.5	22.3	157.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.9	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +22.2%

IND +18.5%

PHI -2.6%

IND +13.8%

PHI -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	15.6	13.9	14.8	106.5	114.0	107.7
season	14.5	14.9		101.9	107.5
opponent	14.8	14.4		108.0	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	13.7	15.3	15.3	17.2	19.2	15.6
IND	12.0	14.0	16.0	15.5	10.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hollis Thompson	53	55	0.46	-0.96	1.41	0.22	8	-15	23	15.0	16.2	-1.16	13.7	14.2	-0.41
TJ McConnell	45	43	0.45	-0.95	1.40	0.27	6	-13	19	14.9	16.2	-1.31	14.4	13.6	0.83
Richaun Holmes	57	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.24	2	-9	11	16.2	15.0	1.16	14.3	13.6	0.67
Robert Covington	66	65	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-4	1	16.1	14.9	1.19	14.0	13.9	0.14
Nik Stauskas	39	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	1	-9	14.1	16.5	-2.35	13.3	14.3	-1.03
Jahlil Okafor	47	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-1	-5	15.4	15.8	-0.40	14.1	13.8	0.29
Dario Saric	68	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-1	-5	16.3	14.4	1.91	13.5	14.7	-1.25
Ersan Ilyasova	45	44	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.32	-6	-1	-5	13.8	16.9	-3.10	14.1	13.9	0.21
Sergio Rodriguez	61	63	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.23	-12	5	-17	16.5	14.5	1.94	13.7	14.2	-0.48
Gerald Henderson	59	58	-1.02	0.52	-1.53	-0.72	-10	3	-13	16.6	14.5	2.05	14.3	13.5	0.88

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	64	67	1.32	-0.82	2.15	0.80	18	-11	29	14.0	13.9	0.14	15.5	15.9	-0.44
Paul George	62	63	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.20	11	-4	15	13.8	14.1	-0.25	16.4	14.5	1.92
Jeff Teague	82	83	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-4	15	13.7	14.7	-0.96	15.9	14.7	1.18
Al Jefferson	43	43	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	-2	11	15.0	13.3	1.69	14.1	16.6	-2.55
Myles Turner	64	65	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	9	-11	13.3	15.0	-1.69	16.6	14.1	2.55
Glenn Robinson	12	13	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	3	1	14.0	13.9	0.06	16.7	15.5	1.21
Lavoy Allen	28	28	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	11	-15	14.1	13.9	0.17	14.2	16.1	-1.86
Aaron Brooks	25	25	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	11	-15	14.7	13.7	0.96	14.7	15.9	-1.18
Monta Ellis	73	72	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.04	-12	19	-31	14.3	13.1	1.21	14.7	17.4	-2.64
Thaddeus Young	72	71	-0.58	1.08	-1.67	-0.49	-3	10	-13	14.0	13.9	0.09	15.8	15.3	0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.84,0.7,0.59,0.72,0.47,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.46,0.53,0.78,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 88, CHH 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.46,0.23,0.26,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.77,0.99,1	90.8%
MIN 103, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.67,0.46,0.32,0.26,0.46,0.75,0.72,0.84,1,1	88.9%
SAS 74, TOR 80	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.99,1	88.7%