NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	122		Excitement	4.7 [883]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +14.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	128		Comeback	1.2 [1199]		LVP	Amir Johnson (BOS): -7.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	20	62%	0.13	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jaylen Brown	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	16	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Terry Rozier	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	8	61%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Smart	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	-0.00	0.08	9	70%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Mickey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Young	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.07	-0.03	0.10	19	58%	-0.00	3	-0.06	14	100%	0.04
Amir Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	5	27%	-0.07	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.02	-0.00	22	61%	0.18	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	7	83%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.01	0.04	15	60%	0.11	1	-0.01	13	92%	0.04
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	0.00	7	79%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.04	7	68%	0.06	0	0.00	8	87%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	18	59%	0.10	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McRae	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
JR Smith	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.8	30.0	17.7	28.3	3.4	42.3	149.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +35.3%

CLE +7.4%

CLE +4.9%

CLE +0.4%

CLE +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	14.6	13.8	14.8	120.8	125.5	107.7
season	14.7	14.9		110.1	113.5
opponent	14.7	14.9		109.6	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.2	17.5	12.5	13.5	14.6
CLE	14.8	12.5	14.7	13.1	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Young	5	5	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.12	8	-14	22	14.0	14.6	-0.63	10.8	13.9	-3.14
Terry Rozier	35	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.22	6	-12	18	14.8	14.5	0.27	13.5	13.9	-0.38
Jaylen Brown	74	76	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.50	15	-21	36	14.7	14.2	0.51	13.4	14.9	-1.48
Amir Johnson	56	56	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.17	3	-9	12	15.3	13.7	1.67	12.8	15.0	-2.17
Gerald Green	19	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-2	-2	13.9	14.7	-0.80	15.0	13.5	1.48
Jordan Mickey	20	20	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	2	-10	13.0	15.0	-1.99	16.2	13.2	3.07
Jonas Jerebko	28	27	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	7	-20	13.2	15.1	-1.91	15.0	13.3	1.70
Tyler Zeller	56	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.15	-7	1	-8	15.1	13.9	1.23	13.9	13.7	0.22
Avery Bradley	82	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-4	2	14.7	13.9	0.80	13.5	15.0	-1.48
Isaiah Thomas	70	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.21	-7	1	-8	14.4	15.1	-0.68	13.7	13.9	-0.21
Marcus Smart	60	60	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	0.00	-21	15	-36	14.6	14.6	-0.03	14.2	13.2	0.93

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	76	77	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.01	18	-12	30	13.9	13.5	0.38	14.5	14.9	-0.37
JR Smith	75	74	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.16	11	-5	16	13.6	14.4	-0.85	14.6	14.5	0.15
Tristan Thompson	63	64	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	-4	14	13.9	13.6	0.23	15.2	13.6	1.62
Iman Shumpert	56	55	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	-1	8	13.8	13.7	0.12	15.1	14.0	1.01
Kyrie Irving	73	71	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.18	2	4	-2	13.5	14.6	-1.12	15.0	13.5	1.51
Channing Frye	29	32	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.09	10	-4	14	15.8	13.0	2.85	13.0	15.3	-2.33
Kevin Love	71	68	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.39	-8	14	-22	13.5	14.5	-1.05	14.8	14.2	0.57
Richard Jefferson	30	29	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.16	-3	9	-12	15.0	13.3	1.77	14.2	14.7	-0.49
Mike Dunleavy	27	27	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	11	-16	14.4	13.6	0.85	14.5	14.6	-0.15
DeAndre Liggins	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	10	-14	7.2	14.1	-6.80	10.0	14.7	-4.73
Jordan McRae	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	10	-14	7.2	14.1	-6.80	10.0	14.7	-4.73
James Jones	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	10	-14	6.5	13.9	-7.43	8.5	14.7	-6.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 77, UTA 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.93,0.9,0.98,1,1	95.6%
ORL 78, HOU 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.4%
VAN 99, ATL 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1	95.3%