NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	77		Excitement	4.5 [939]		MVP	DeMarre Carroll (UTA): +4.5%
Utah Jazz	86		Comeback	1.3 [1012]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -10.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nolan Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	23	53%	0.07	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Will Barton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	69%	0.04	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Victor Claver	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	7	36%	-0.04	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	17	39%	-0.07	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	65%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	12	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Murphy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	22	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	9	33%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	17	37%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	27.3	15.4	25.8	1.8	28.5	125.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +37.0%

UTA +1.6%

UTA +6.0%

UTA +3.6%

UTA +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	15.3	17.1	15.4	87.5	95.6	104.1
season	15.8	16.0		104.3	104.6
opponent	15.1	15.3		105.0	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.5	16.6	12.5	15.3	15.3
UTA	14.2	14.7	20.2	19.7	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nolan Smith	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	13.5	15.3	-1.81	16.0	17.1	-1.09
Will Barton	12	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-7	5	16.8	15.0	1.81	13.0	17.7	-4.69
Luke Babbitt	39	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.22	4	-13	17	14.2	16.1	-1.92	17.5	16.7	0.78
Ronnie Price	25	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-8	7	17.0	14.6	2.41	18.3	16.6	1.68
Victor Claver	29	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-13	17	15.0	15.4	-0.41	18.2	16.4	1.84
Meyers Leonard	10	11	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	-1	-7	18.9	14.8	4.09	12.2	17.7	-5.57
Jared Jeffries	7	8	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	0	-9	21.3	14.8	6.53	10.5	17.7	-7.21
JJ Hickson	51	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-4	-1	15.2	15.3	-0.09	17.4	16.7	0.66
LaMarcus Aldridge	67	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-6	3	15.0	16.1	-1.08	17.8	14.8	3.04
Wesley Matthews	51	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	3	-15	15.0	15.6	-0.56	16.7	17.5	-0.79
Damian Lillard	76	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-6	3	14.9	17.7	-2.87	17.5	14.3	3.18
Nicolas Batum	71	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	1	-11	14.9	16.8	-1.92	17.0	17.4	-0.47

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Foye	68	66	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	0	9	17.2	16.7	0.45	14.6	17.2	-2.61
Al Jefferson	69	67	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	1	7	17.8	14.6	3.25	14.9	16.4	-1.52
Marvin Williams	52	52	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	-2	13	17.2	16.9	0.25	14.0	17.1	-3.06
Alec Burks	38	37	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.14	5	4	1	17.0	17.1	-0.16	16.6	14.3	2.37
Paul Millsap	58	57	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	4	1	16.9	17.4	-0.58	14.3	17.1	-2.82
Derrick Favors	40	40	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	6	-3	17.4	16.8	0.69	16.6	14.2	2.43
Earl Watson	44	44	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	6	-3	16.1	18.0	-1.95	15.4	15.1	0.27
DeMarre Carroll	38	36	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.20	-2	11	-13	16.9	17.2	-0.25	17.1	14.0	3.06
Enes Kanter	12	12	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	5	-1	12.5	17.8	-5.27	17.6	14.9	2.68
Jamaal Tinsley	29	29	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	6	-3	18.5	16.4	2.09	14.8	15.5	-0.72
Jeremy Evans	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	16.0	17.1	-1.08	0.0	15.3	-15.27
Kevin Murphy	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	16.0	17.1	-1.08	0.0	15.3	-15.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.93,0.9,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 77, DET 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	96.0%
NJN 92, ATL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.92,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%
BOS 122, CLE 128	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.93,1,1,1	95.6%