NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	101		Excitement	5.3 [761]		MVP	Sean Kilpatrick (BKN): +23.1%
Brooklyn Nets	109		Comeback	1.1 [549]		LVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DET): -10.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Morris	0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.01	-0.01	16	62%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Jon Leuer	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	69%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tobias Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.11	-0.05	0.06	14	66%	0.04	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Aron Baynes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	9	33%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	9	45%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	14	45%	-0.05	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.02

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.07	-0.02	13	80%	0.29	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.18	-0.04	0.05	21	67%	0.13	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.04
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	9	72%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	71%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Justin Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	69%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Whitehead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.03	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.6	28.3	15.5	24.3	2.5	37.4	135.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +70.1%

DET -8.2%

DET -2.2%

DET -10.5%

BKN +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	BKN	NBA	DET	BKN	NBA
this game	15.6	13.5	14.8	102.0	110.1	107.7
season	15.0	13.7		105.0	103.2
opponent	14.4	15.1		109.6	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.8	15.7	15.0	15.0	15.6
BKN	11.3	13.1	14.4	15.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aron Baynes	38	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-5	2	15.6	15.7	-0.05	13.8	13.3	0.53
Beno Udrih	34	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-3	-2	16.3	15.3	0.96	12.8	13.8	-1.06
Jon Leuer	52	54	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.31	5	-13	18	16.0	15.2	0.85	14.4	12.3	2.06
Stanley Johnson	33	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	0	-8	16.8	15.0	1.77	13.3	13.5	-0.21
Andre Drummond	53	53	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-3	-2	15.9	15.3	0.66	12.7	14.4	-1.71
Marcus Morris	67	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-4	0	15.3	16.2	-0.91	13.4	13.6	-0.18
Ish Smith	65	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-5	2	15.3	16.3	-0.96	13.8	12.8	1.06
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	78	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	-2	-4	15.1	17.8	-2.76	13.5	13.4	0.01
Tobias Harris	75	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.20	-11	3	-14	15.5	16.0	-0.53	13.3	14.0	-0.66

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	60	61	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.19	10	-2	12	13.7	13.1	0.62	15.0	16.6	-1.62
Sean Kilpatrick	58	58	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.19	8	0	8	13.5	13.4	0.07	15.4	16.0	-0.58
Trevor Booker	63	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	0	8	13.8	12.8	1.06	14.8	17.0	-2.21
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	46	47	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	1	6	13.2	13.7	-0.56	16.0	15.3	0.61
Joe Harris	56	54	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.22	3	5	-2	13.6	13.3	0.31	14.9	16.5	-1.60
Bojan Bogdanovic	67	66	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.13	3	5	-2	13.5	13.4	0.07	15.5	16.0	-0.50
Jeremy Lin	33	35	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.06	8	0	8	11.4	14.5	-3.14	16.0	15.4	0.61
Justin Hamilton	47	49	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	7	-6	12.6	14.2	-1.64	16.8	14.5	2.26
Isaiah Whitehead	39	38	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.16	-3	11	-14	14.7	12.6	2.13	16.3	15.2	1.02
Luis Scola	26	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.13	-5	13	-18	14.3	13.1	1.21	17.4	15.0	2.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 89, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1	94.7%
CHA 98, IND 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.97,1	94.5%
HOU 101, DET 114	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.97,1,1	94.5%