NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	117		Excitement	7.7 [318]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +30.4%
New Orleans Pelicans	113		Comeback	1.9 [381]		LVP	Dante Cunningham (NOP): -12.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.32,0.3	0.07	0.23	-0.00	19	57%	0.32	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.03	0.12	-0.00	10	67%	0.25	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Jabari Parker	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	14	60%	0.14	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Mirza Teletovic	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	7	57%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	65%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Michael Beasley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	9	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Tony Snell	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	12	54%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
John Henson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	43%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.11	-0.01	13	65%	0.21	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	-0.00	12	67%	0.23	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.03
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.13,0.11	0.11	0.14	-0.01	0.02	21	58%	0.14	1	-0.03	18	94%	0.08
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.00	0.02	9	69%	0.10	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.05
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	10	48%	0.06	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	42%	-0.02	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.07
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	9	20%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	30.2	14.4	28.5	2.5	35.4	138.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +42.9%

NOP -0.1%

MIL +7.5%

NOP -3.7%

MIL +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NOP	NBA	MIL	NOP	NBA
this game	14.3	13.4	14.8	113.6	107.6	107.7
season	14.9	14.1		107.4	104.1
opponent	15.0	15.3		106.2	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.0	12.3	14.8	16.4	14.3
NOP	14.8	12.9	12.8	13.1	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	72	75	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.50	10	-6	16	13.7	15.8	-2.15	14.0	11.8	2.24
Tony Snell	72	72	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.41	12	-8	20	14.5	13.8	0.75	13.6	13.1	0.49
Mirza Teletovic	24	25	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.19	12	-8	20	15.5	13.9	1.51	15.3	12.8	2.47
Malcolm Brogdon	51	52	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	-5	14	14.8	13.8	1.07	12.8	14.0	-1.14
John Henson	35	38	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.28	2	2	0	14.9	14.0	0.93	11.9	14.2	-2.28
Miles Plumlee	32	30	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	3	-2	12.3	15.2	-2.84	15.3	12.6	2.66
Jabari Parker	63	64	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.21	-5	9	-14	14.3	14.3	-0.08	13.3	13.6	-0.26
Greg Monroe	36	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	3	-2	15.4	13.7	1.76	13.4	13.4	-0.08
Matthew Dellavedova	63	64	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.24	-8	12	-20	14.1	14.7	-0.61	13.3	13.5	-0.18
Michael Beasley	29	29	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.11	-5	9	-14	14.6	14.2	0.40	12.1	13.9	-1.79
Rashad Vaughn	38	39	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.06	-9	13	-22	13.9	14.6	-0.69	12.7	13.8	-1.13

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omer Asik	27	29	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.06	6	-10	16	12.4	13.7	-1.29	15.5	13.8	1.69
E'Twaun Moore	77	76	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.33	9	-13	22	13.3	13.6	-0.33	14.4	14.1	0.26
Alexis Ajinca	14	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	1	-6	13.8	13.3	0.45	13.5	14.4	-0.87
Solomon Hill	79	76	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.37	8	-12	20	13.4	13.5	-0.18	14.2	14.4	-0.19
Langston Galloway	19	18	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.00	-6	2	-8	13.9	13.3	0.60	13.8	14.4	-0.63
Anthony Davis	82	79	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-7	10	13.5	12.9	0.68	14.1	15.0	-0.86
Tim Frazier	79	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-6	8	13.5	13.2	0.22	14.5	13.6	0.87
Lance Stephenson	33	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	8	-20	13.1	13.5	-0.45	14.2	14.3	-0.14
Buddy Hield	30	29	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.11	-11	7	-18	13.3	13.5	-0.19	14.8	14.1	0.64
Dante Cunningham	85	83	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.31	-14	10	-24	13.6	12.4	1.17	14.0	15.7	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.16,0.26,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.14,0.06,0.09,0.31,0.19,0.23,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 91, NJN 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.29,0.23,0.15,0	91.8%
SAS 97, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.04,0.01,0,0	91.6%
NOH 111, LAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0	91.6%