inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 91 Excitement7.4 [321] MVPAnfernee Hardaway (MIA): +31.4%
New Jersey Nets 87 Comeback2.3 [594] LVPRichard Jefferson (NJN): -24.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anfernee Hardaway0.310,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.310.180.140.006133%0.351-0.0400%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.060.05-0.001258%0.131-0.01786%0.02
Daequan Cook0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.03-0.01956%0.0700.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.05-0.00833%0.0200.002100%0.01
Ricky Davis0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.01560%0.0200.0000%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.010.01-0.020.01956%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Mark Blount-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12-0.130.010.001743%0.036-0.152075%-0.00
Jason Williams-0.220,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.17-0.05-0.01812%-0.114-0.1100%0.00

New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sean Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.10.100.090.030.011169%0.163-0.061080%0.01
Antoine Wright0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.030.011070%0.121-0.0300%0.00
Nenad Krstic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00737%-0.0200.002100%0.02
Eddie Gill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Bostjan Nachbar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.020.00337%0.022-0.06250%-0.01
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Jason Kidd0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.080.01-0.011059%0.117-0.167100%0.05
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.12-0.03-0.01450%0.026-0.16250%-0.01
Jason Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.15-0.15-0.03-0.120.00237%-0.131-0.02425%-0.21
Richard Jefferson0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.25-0.25-0.04-0.190.011155%-0.054-0.201191%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.01.831.116.426.62.544.7151.1
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +10.8%
MIA +17.9%
NJN -14.6%
MIA +38.4%
NJN -2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIANJNNBAMIANJNNBA
this game16.214.015.495.890.6105.7
season16.015.499.0101.8
opponent15.515.4107.1108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.416.716.516.016.2
NJN14.614.013.514.014.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alonzo Mourning45450.78-0.281.050.3116-122815.916.4-0.4913.314.6-1.30
Anfernee Hardaway54540.60-0.100.700.339-51416.116.2-0.0913.414.8-1.48
Dwyane Wade80800.50-0.000.510.307-31015.619.3-3.7613.914.5-0.60
Daequan Cook41430.260.240.030.067-31017.015.61.4214.113.90.25
Udonis Haslem78770.260.240.020.38-48-1215.718.5-2.8813.914.6-0.72
Mark Blount14150.240.26-0.02-0.0510-61619.115.73.4014.713.90.87
Ricky Davis52550.120.38-0.250.30-610-1616.016.4-0.4614.113.90.17
Jason Williams6262-0.070.57-0.650.13-711-1816.415.80.5814.213.70.46
Shaquille O'Neal4949-0.190.69-0.890.16-1216-2816.715.61.0915.112.92.25

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamaal Magloire44430.04-0.540.57-0.053-71014.014.0-0.0815.516.7-1.20
Sean Williams7373-0.08-0.420.35-0.3710-142413.415.9-2.5215.817.5-1.79
Richard Jefferson8279-0.13-0.370.24-0.378-122014.014.3-0.3316.216.00.20
Jason Kidd8078-0.19-0.310.11-0.438-122013.615.7-2.1016.116.6-0.51
Malik Allen1313-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.08-62-814.314.00.3616.516.10.43
Jason Collins3030-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.16-40-415.413.41.9917.915.42.48
Bostjan Nachbar2525-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.06-95-1413.514.2-0.6515.416.5-1.10
Nenad Krstic2929-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.09-95-1415.213.51.7317.215.71.45
Eddie Gill1817-0.35-0.15-0.200.06-1410-2414.014.0-0.0016.616.10.51
Antoine Wright8688-0.570.07-0.64-0.36-73-1014.113.01.1216.117.4-1.36


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.29,0.23,0.15,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 94, CLE 910.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.08,092.4%
WAS 102, MIL 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.22,0.18,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,091.9%
MIL 117, NOP 1130.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.16,0.26,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.14,0.06,0.09,0.31,0.19,0.23,0.03,091.8%