NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	111		Excitement	6.7 [462]		MVP	David Wesley (NOH): +22.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	108		Comeback	1.7 [752]		LVP	Andre Miller (LAC): -15.2%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.05	0.16	-0.02	16	61%	0.29	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Jamal Mashburn	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.13	0.18	0.02	0.07	21	73%	0.19	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Jerome Moiso	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	63%	0.05	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.02
Kenny Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	69%	0.03	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Jamaal Magloire	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Robert Traylor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	10	39%	-0.03	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
George Lynch	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	8	12%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	12	65%	0.04	0	0.00	13	100%	0.09
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	5	83%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	57%	-0.00	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12	-0.12	0.01	-0.07	0.06	19	55%	-0.02	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	17	50%	-0.05	3	-0.10	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.4	27.6	16.3	25.4	2.5	37.8	138.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +28.7%

NOH +1.1%

NOH +21.1%

LAC -0.7%

LAC -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	LAC	NBA	NOH	LAC	NBA
this game	16.5	14.1	15.5	118.1	114.9	101.6
season	15.9	15.4		101.6	100.2
opponent	15.4	15.6		104.3	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.3	16.0	17.5	16.4	16.5
LAC	12.5	15.3	13.8	14.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Traylor	40	39	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.32	8	-5	13	15.6	17.2	-1.64	13.8	14.3	-0.56
P.J. Brown	79	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	-2	7	16.3	17.7	-1.34	13.7	16.4	-2.74
Kenny Anderson	39	40	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.40	3	0	3	16.1	16.9	-0.80	13.9	14.2	-0.25
Jamal Mashburn	84	84	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.38	3	0	3	16.6	16.1	0.50	13.6	18.1	-4.48
Courtney Alexander	40	41	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	-11	25	16.0	16.9	-0.94	13.0	15.0	-1.99
David Wesley	79	78	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.42	-2	5	-7	16.8	15.0	1.84	14.9	10.2	4.63
Jerome Moiso	15	15	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	5	-7	17.7	16.3	1.34	16.4	13.7	2.74
Stacey Augmon	10	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	4	-5	17.8	16.4	1.41	12.4	14.3	-1.90
Jamaal Magloire	54	54	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	9	-15	17.2	15.6	1.64	14.6	13.5	1.08
George Lynch	30	30	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.06	-7	10	-17	16.5	16.5	-0.01	15.3	13.5	1.72

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Rooks	41	42	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.05	10	-13	23	14.5	13.8	0.78	18.0	15.3	2.68
Quentin Richardson	72	71	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.27	9	-12	21	13.4	16.2	-2.78	16.8	15.8	1.01
Wang Zhi-zhi	10	10	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	3	-9	14.4	14.1	0.34	13.6	16.9	-3.29
Chris Wilcox	42	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.14	-2	-1	-1	12.3	15.5	-3.23	16.4	16.6	-0.23
Marko Jaric	22	22	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	4	-11	14.9	13.9	1.00	15.6	16.8	-1.24
Cherokee Parks	52	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.27	-1	-2	1	15.5	12.3	3.23	16.6	16.4	0.23
Eric Piatkowski	51	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	6	-15	15.4	12.6	2.83	17.2	15.8	1.40
Andre Miller	76	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.38	-1	-2	1	14.0	14.7	-0.71	16.7	15.9	0.80
Corey Maggette	61	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.39	-1	-2	1	13.7	14.9	-1.21	15.9	17.8	-1.87
Melvin Ely	43	42	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.37	-7	4	-11	13.6	14.5	-0.91	15.8	17.2	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 91, UTA 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.23,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	93.7%
MIA 114, PHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	93.2%
PHX 115, LAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.2%