inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 82 Excitement2.4 [1251] MVPAron Baynes (DET): +7.1%
Detroit Pistons 108 Comeback1.1 [961] LVPBismack Biyombo (ORL): -7.1%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Elfrid Payton0.020,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.031354%0.033-0.012100%0.00
CJ Watson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stephen Zimmerman0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
CJ Wilcox-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01350%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04633%-0.0110.0100%0.00
Aaron Gordon-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.04-0.000.071257%-0.021-0.00667%-0.02
Jeff Green-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.04-0.000.07956%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Mario Hezonja-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.010.021542%-0.011-0.021100%0.00
Nikola Vucevic-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.10-0.00-0.071227%-0.041-0.00250%-0.01
Evan Fournier-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.08-0.00-0.041232%-0.041-0.0010%-0.01
D.J. Augustin-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.000.02530%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Bismack Biyombo-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.000.01520%-0.061-0.0200%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.010.03872%0.0700.00250%0.00
Marcus Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.00-0.021459%0.072-0.001100%0.00
Tobias Harris0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.03-0.00-0.021656%0.062-0.0100%0.00
Ish Smith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.011362%0.052-0.0200%0.00
Stanley Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05437%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Darrun Hilliard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Henry Ellenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Gbinije0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Boban Marjanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.02545%-0.011-0.001100%0.00
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.080.000.081065%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jon Leuer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.000.02750%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Andre Drummond0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.000.001440%-0.041-0.002100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.21.825.116.524.21.525.6116.9
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +37.3%
DET +3.4%
DET +8.1%
DET +0.6%
DET +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLDETNBAORLDETNBA
this game15.315.214.886.3114.9107.7
season14.615.0103.0105.0
opponent15.114.9106.4109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.615.614.215.915.3
DET13.815.015.216.915.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
CJ Watson15150.00-0.500.50-0.062-283015.315.30.0616.714.91.83
Stephen Zimmerman15150.00-0.500.50-0.062-283015.315.30.0616.714.91.83
CJ Wilcox2222-0.00-0.500.50-0.279-354415.915.10.7516.914.72.18
Elfrid Payton5857-0.13-0.370.240.34-16-10-613.717.7-4.0115.215.2-0.04
Evan Fournier5657-0.14-0.360.230.16-10-16614.216.8-2.5214.616.1-1.51
Nikola Vucevic5554-0.20-0.300.100.18-13-13014.316.6-2.2314.616.0-1.45
Aaron Gordon5958-0.24-0.260.010.05-10-16614.915.9-0.9315.314.90.40
Jeff Green3738-0.26-0.24-0.010.21-16-10-615.715.00.6415.215.2-0.06
Mario Hezonja4545-0.30-0.20-0.100.02-11-15416.114.51.5715.714.80.91
D.J. Augustin2928-0.37-0.13-0.250.18-19-7-1218.413.94.4614.515.5-0.93
Bismack Biyombo4341-0.42-0.08-0.350.25-23-3-2017.413.53.9014.915.4-0.47
Serge Ibaka4140-0.44-0.06-0.370.30-25-1-2414.615.8-1.1414.815.5-0.64

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Morris58560.370.130.25-0.011313015.414.80.5815.614.90.66
Jon Leuer52530.350.150.21-0.181881015.315.10.2217.013.13.97
Ish Smith55550.320.180.14-0.302151614.516.2-1.6913.917.2-3.40
Andre Drummond58590.320.180.13-0.241971214.516.3-1.8514.117.3-3.21
Tobias Harris55570.200.30-0.10-0.442241814.915.6-0.7714.616.3-1.63
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope49500.200.30-0.10-0.30179814.815.7-0.9114.516.1-1.57
Aron Baynes30300.180.32-0.13-0.141115-417.114.32.8518.613.84.80
Beno Udrih33340.180.32-0.14-0.08917-816.914.32.6018.413.64.82
Darrun Hilliard660.000.50-0.500.12-430-3412.315.4-3.0510.815.6-4.75
Henry Ellenson660.000.50-0.500.12-430-3412.315.4-3.0510.815.6-4.75
Michael Gbinije10100.000.50-0.500.06-228-3016.115.11.0212.615.6-3.00
Boban Marjanovic660.000.50-0.500.12-430-3412.315.4-3.0510.815.6-4.75
Stanley Johnson2929-0.060.56-0.620.14-733-4016.314.71.6215.715.10.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 94, CHI 1120.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
TOR 60, WAS 860.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
IND 101, CHI 1180.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%