NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	94		Excitement	2.3 [1268]		MVP	Andres Nocioni (CHI): +17.5%
Chicago Bulls	112		Comeback	1.4 [1017]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): -6.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	67%	0.01	2	-0.01	8	75%	0.00
Donell Taylor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	36%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
James Lang	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	58%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	0.00	0.09	4	69%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	11	38%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	0.01	0.04	15	58%	0.03	6	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	10	37%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andres Nocioni	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.16	0.01	0.00	15	75%	0.19	1	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.02	21	61%	0.13	2	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	11	67%	0.06	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	56%	0.03	1	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	11	42%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	64%	0.02	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	36%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	5	47%	0.00	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	28.6	15.4	30.2	1.8	30.0	131.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +48.0%

WAS -4.0%

CHI +0.8%

CHI +6.0%

WAS -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	15.3	15.7	15.4	101.1	120.4	104.5
season	14.8	14.5		107.8	103.1
opponent	15.9	15.3		98.1	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.2	15.3	17.1	14.4	15.3
CHI	16.5	14.7	12.4	19.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	23	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-29	40	13.7	15.8	-2.18	18.2	14.8	3.47
Andray Blatche	24	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-19	20	15.4	15.2	0.17	13.2	16.6	-3.33
Donell Taylor	31	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.33	11	-29	40	14.3	15.8	-1.50	17.4	14.7	2.61
James Lang	36	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.30	10	-28	38	14.9	15.5	-0.56	17.0	14.8	2.20
Etan Thomas	29	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.25	-11	-7	-4	16.5	14.7	1.73	14.7	16.1	-1.44
DeShawn Stevenson	50	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.16	-9	-9	0	15.3	15.2	0.11	14.6	16.9	-2.29
Caron Butler	60	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.09	-14	-4	-10	15.0	15.8	-0.87	16.0	15.1	0.90
Jarvis Hayes	29	28	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.17	-17	-1	-16	16.7	14.7	1.98	14.7	16.1	-1.33
Antawn Jamison	66	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	-3	-12	15.1	15.7	-0.53	16.6	13.4	3.22
Brendan Haywood	28	27	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.08	-17	-1	-16	14.5	15.6	-1.13	14.9	16.0	-1.06
Gilbert Arenas	41	42	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.40	-28	10	-38	16.9	14.0	2.93	14.9	16.3	-1.41
Antonio Daniels	48	47	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.07	-12	-6	-6	15.0	15.6	-0.64	15.1	16.3	-1.20

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	55	54	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.04	16	2	14	16.5	14.6	1.90	15.1	15.5	-0.43
Tyrus Thomas	52	50	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	9	0	16.5	14.6	1.91	14.9	15.7	-0.76
Andres Nocioni	56	59	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.25	20	-2	22	15.2	16.4	-1.25	16.5	13.2	3.24
Michael Sweetney	35	36	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.20	3	15	-12	17.8	14.4	3.36	14.4	15.8	-1.38
Kirk Hinrich	63	63	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	6	6	14.7	17.8	-3.18	15.8	14.3	1.46
Luol Deng	65	65	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.25	16	2	14	15.5	16.0	-0.51	15.2	15.6	-0.45
Ben Wallace	58	57	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.22	15	3	12	14.4	17.8	-3.36	15.8	14.4	1.38
Chris Duhon	37	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.17	13	5	8	15.3	15.9	-0.63	15.4	15.2	0.25
Viktor Khryapa	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	23	-28	14.1	15.8	-1.70	12.9	15.5	-2.63
Thabo Sefolosha	36	35	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.25	-9	27	-36	16.9	14.9	1.93	13.8	16.2	-2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 96, WAS 137	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
ORL 82, DET 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.77,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
CLE 73, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.8,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%