NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	91		Excitement	5.5 [725]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +25.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	98		Comeback	1.2 [942]		LVP	Wesley Matthews (DAL): -12.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	9	61%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Devin Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	11	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.05	0.00	14	60%	0.07	4	-0.09	7	86%	0.02
Justin Anderson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	4	21%	-0.02	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01
Salah Mejri	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	3	62%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Deron Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.03	0.03	11	56%	0.01	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
David Lee	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	9	35%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.19	0.04	-0.02	10	100%	0.27	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.00	-0.01	13	67%	0.16	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.03
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	11	48%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Wilcox	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.04	1	-0.02	23	26%	-0.24
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	10	24%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	18	41%	0.03	4	-0.13	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.8	31.2	15.8	37.6	1.8	31.9	146.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +55.9%

DAL -20.7%

LAC +1.2%

LAC +15.4%

DAL -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAC	NBA	DAL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.0	14.9	14.9	93.8	102.1	105.1
season	15.5	14.8		105.0	106.6
opponent	14.9	14.7		102.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.8	15.0	16.0	13.0	15.0
LAC	14.8	15.0	11.3	19.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	5	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-11	15	7.6	15.4	-7.78	20.7	14.6	6.14
Dwight Powell	17	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.26	8	-15	23	12.3	15.5	-3.26	17.5	14.3	3.17
Charlie Villanueva	24	24	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	-0.33	10	-17	27	13.1	15.6	-2.52	18.8	13.6	5.24
Devin Harris	49	49	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-9	11	15.0	15.0	0.00	15.5	14.2	1.36
Salah Mejri	30	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-6	5	14.9	15.0	-0.16	12.2	16.1	-3.88
Dirk Nowitzki	57	56	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-6	5	15.0	15.0	0.01	14.8	15.0	-0.23
Justin Anderson	56	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.19	1	-8	9	13.4	17.1	-3.63	15.3	14.3	0.98
David Lee	35	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-2	-3	14.6	15.2	-0.55	14.5	15.0	-0.51
Raymond Felton	63	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	7	-21	15.4	14.2	1.24	14.1	16.3	-2.19
Deron Williams	56	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	1	-9	15.4	14.4	1.06	15.2	14.4	0.78
Zaza Pachulia	32	32	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	6	-19	17.7	13.6	4.09	14.4	15.1	-0.69
Wesley Matthews	61	61	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.05	-18	11	-29	16.4	12.5	3.94	13.6	17.0	-3.41

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	71	70	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.09	16	-9	25	14.0	17.4	-3.37	16.4	11.3	5.10
DeAndre Jordan	64	65	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.07	15	-8	23	13.7	17.2	-3.44	15.9	13.1	2.86
JJ Redick	58	57	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	1	5	15.1	14.4	0.69	16.4	12.9	3.54
Jamal Crawford	54	54	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	1	5	14.4	15.5	-1.04	14.3	15.9	-1.58
Luc Mbah a Moute	28	30	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	2	3	12.6	15.8	-3.24	16.0	14.5	1.53
Wesley Johnson	32	33	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	-3	13	15.7	14.4	1.28	14.3	15.3	-0.98
Blake Griffin	64	64	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	8	-9	15.3	14.0	1.34	15.6	13.8	1.71
Jeff Green	42	43	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	9	-11	14.8	14.9	-0.06	13.3	16.4	-3.10
Cole Aldrich	20	20	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	6	-5	16.2	14.5	1.75	14.5	15.1	-0.54
CJ Wilcox	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	10	-13	21.5	14.7	6.78	3.3	15.4	-12.02
Jeff Ayres	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	10	-13	21.5	14.7	6.78	3.3	15.4	-12.02
Pablo Prigioni	18	17	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.15	-6	13	-19	16.9	14.4	2.56	14.4	15.1	-0.76
Austin Rivers	25	26	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.20	-9	16	-25	17.4	14.0	3.37	11.5	16.3	-4.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 93, DAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
MIN 80, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
ATL 76, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%