NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	107		Excitement	6.4 [547]		MVP	Jae Crowder (BOS): +10.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	100		Comeback	1.6 [396]		LVP	D'Angelo Russell (LAL): -24.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.07	-0.02	18	49%	0.13	2	-0.03	9	89%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	-0.00	20	60%	0.13	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Evan Turner	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	12	61%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Tyler Zeller	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	56%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Olynyk	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Sullinger	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.01	0.04	28	52%	0.05	0	0.00	10	80%	-0.01
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.12	-0.01	0.08	11	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marcelo Huertas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	0.04	16	47%	-0.02	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.20	-0.04	0.00	14	28%	-0.09	6	-0.16	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.8	29.3	15.4	26.5	2.4	34.5	135.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +43.0%

BOS +5.5%

BOS +1.1%

BOS +2.8%

LAL -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAL	NBA	BOS	LAL	NBA
this game	13.4	14.9	14.9	103.9	99.0	105.1
season	13.9	15.2		104.5	100.1
opponent	14.5	15.0		109.9	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.4	13.1	14.2	13.8	13.4
LAL	15.9	13.6	15.8	14.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Zeller	38	38	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.25	16	-9	25	13.2	13.5	-0.33	15.2	14.7	0.49
Terry Rozier	45	45	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.23	10	-3	13	13.7	13.1	0.53	14.6	15.1	-0.55
Marcus Smart	59	59	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.22	10	-3	13	13.6	13.1	0.45	15.8	13.6	2.24
Amir Johnson	58	54	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.30	2	5	-3	12.8	14.1	-1.32	15.0	14.7	0.26
Jae Crowder	69	67	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.11	8	-1	9	12.7	14.8	-2.08	14.9	14.8	0.18
Evan Turner	78	75	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.23	-1	8	-9	13.1	14.3	-1.20	14.8	15.2	-0.42
Isaiah Thomas	67	65	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	6	-5	13.6	13.0	0.57	13.8	16.7	-2.90
Jared Sullinger	39	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	9	-11	12.9	13.7	-0.76	13.9	15.5	-1.56
Jonas Jerebko	38	40	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.09	-7	14	-21	14.7	12.6	2.08	15.2	14.7	0.49
Kelly Olynyk	24	25	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.07	-2	9	-11	15.1	12.8	2.29	16.4	14.4	1.97

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	61	63	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.21	5	-12	17	13.9	16.3	-2.43	13.7	12.9	0.77
D'Angelo Russell	77	78	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-9	11	14.2	17.0	-2.83	13.4	13.4	0.01
Julius Randle	66	68	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-7	7	13.9	16.8	-2.94	13.1	13.8	-0.65
Ryan Kelly	29	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-3	-1	16.9	14.1	2.78	13.3	13.4	-0.07
Kobe Bryant	71	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-3	-1	13.9	17.1	-3.20	13.7	12.7	0.99
Larry Nance Jr.	38	39	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	2	-11	16.5	13.9	2.64	12.8	13.7	-0.88
Tarik Black	38	38	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.15	-9	2	-11	16.8	13.7	3.10	13.3	13.4	-0.08
Jordan Clarkson	78	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.27	-6	-1	-5	14.6	16.0	-1.45	13.3	13.7	-0.42
Marcelo Huertas	47	48	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.18	-10	3	-13	16.5	13.4	3.09	13.5	13.2	0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.18,0.12,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.17,0.28,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 79, BOS 71	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.18,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0	92.2%
UTA 98, MEM 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.11,0.07,0,0,0	92.0%
GSW 113, LAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0	91.8%