NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	79		Excitement	5.5 [563]		MVP	Sebastian Telfair (PHX): +6.1%
Boston Celtics	71		Comeback	1.6 [314]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -16.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sebastian Telfair	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	4	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	8	75%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.01	18	60%	0.11	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	61%	0.12	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.03
Robin Lopez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Channing Frye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	5	30%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	39%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ronnie Price	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	9	45%	0.01	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	8	70%	0.11	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	13	37%	-0.10	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	14	40%	-0.07	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.8	30.2	15.6	29.5	0.8	30.4	129.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +41.6%

PHX +2.3%

PHX +16.8%

BOS -12.1%

PHX +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	BOS	NBA	PHX	BOS	NBA
this game	15.9	16.4	15.6	88.8	79.8	102.8
season	15.0	15.5		104.7	99.4
opponent	16.2	15.7		97.1	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.5	13.7	16.0	20.1	15.9
BOS	14.9	19.0	16.0	15.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	39	39	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	-3	14	15.2	16.5	-1.39	16.6	16.3	0.29
Shannon Brown	30	31	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.10	11	-3	14	15.1	16.4	-1.26	18.1	15.5	2.61
Channing Frye	39	40	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	3	2	15.7	16.1	-0.47	17.7	15.4	2.36
Grant Hill	66	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	4	0	16.0	15.7	0.26	15.9	18.0	-2.10
Steve Nash	72	72	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	7	-6	15.7	17.1	-1.46	15.6	19.9	-4.27
Marcin Gortat	72	72	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.18	3	5	-2	15.6	17.4	-1.83	15.7	19.4	-3.62
Robin Lopez	17	16	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	3	2	17.4	15.6	1.83	20.4	15.5	4.89
Sebastian Telfair	17	18	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	1	6	17.1	15.7	1.46	18.9	15.8	3.09
Ronnie Price	55	55	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	12	-16	16.9	14.3	2.65	15.1	18.6	-3.50
Markieff Morris	38	37	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	11	-14	16.1	15.8	0.26	16.4	16.4	-0.04

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Stiemsma	6	5	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-9	10	16.2	16.4	-0.28	11.8	16.2	-4.38
Avery Bradley	64	63	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-10	12	15.4	19.1	-3.74	16.2	15.2	1.05
Brandon Bass	40	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-9	10	18.7	14.6	4.08	15.9	16.0	-0.10
Ray Allen	71	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.24	1	-9	10	15.7	19.4	-3.71	15.9	16.1	-0.15
Jermaine O'Neal	50	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-4	0	17.0	15.7	1.26	16.9	14.7	2.12
Marquis Daniels	19	18	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	1	-10	18.5	15.9	2.60	16.1	15.9	0.15
Paul Pierce	70	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-4	0	16.5	16.1	0.41	16.0	15.6	0.38
E'Twaun Moore	22	23	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	0	-8	17.0	16.3	0.70	15.4	16.1	-0.67
Kevin Garnett	63	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	1	-10	15.4	19.0	-3.58	16.0	15.8	0.13
Mickael Pietrus	40	40	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.11	-11	3	-14	16.8	16.1	0.63	14.9	16.7	-1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.18,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, LAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.12,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.0%
HOU 107, MIN 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.52,0.3,0.18,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.0%
DAL 110, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.02,0,0,0	92.7%