NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	107		Excitement	5.5 [572]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +25.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Comeback	2.0 [379]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -23.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.07	0.04	7	74%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Kevin Martin	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.00	0.04	21	62%	0.14	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Courtney Lee	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.04	-0.04	9	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.01	10	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Luis Scola	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	12	60%	0.09	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	13	47%	0.11	4	-0.12	8	87%	0.03
Samuel Dalembert	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	8	22%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.22	0.06	0.03	19	81%	0.35	5	-0.10	10	80%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.02	0.02	11	61%	0.08	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.02	8	53%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.03	-0.05	9	42%	-0.03	4	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	11	18%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.17	-0.08	-0.02	10	27%	-0.06	5	-0.18	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.7	25.6	15.8	26.5	1.8	32.2	129.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +28.4%

HOU +8.3%

MIN -1.3%

HOU +13.4%

HOU +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	14.3	14.1	15.6	105.9	90.2	102.8
season	15.4	15.3		103.5	102.6
opponent	15.1	15.5		104.7	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.6	14.7	14.5	14.2	14.3
MIN	15.2	14.1	13.2	14.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	55	57	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.14	16	-1	17	14.0	14.5	-0.49	14.2	14.0	0.25
Chandler Parsons	72	73	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.07	18	-3	21	13.7	15.7	-2.06	14.6	13.0	1.61
Kyle Lowry	90	93	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.10	16	-1	17	13.9	16.8	-2.87	14.1	13.9	0.25
Patrick Patterson	37	39	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.05	14	1	13	14.5	14.1	0.32	14.3	14.0	0.35
Goran Dragic	49	48	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	3	9	14.5	14.0	0.53	14.1	14.1	0.05
Samuel Dalembert	53	52	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.12	3	12	-9	14.5	14.0	0.57	14.5	13.7	0.86
Kevin Martin	74	75	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.15	4	11	-7	14.7	13.1	1.51	13.7	15.1	-1.40
Luis Scola	61	59	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	18	-21	14.3	14.1	0.18	13.7	14.6	-0.88
Jordan Hill	14	14	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	20	-25	15.2	14.1	1.11	12.4	14.4	-1.96

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darko Milicic	42	42	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.08	0	-15	15	14.3	14.0	0.29	14.4	14.1	0.29
Nikola Pekovic	20	21	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-17	19	13.5	14.3	-0.77	14.6	14.2	0.40
Anthony Randolph	23	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-12	9	13.1	14.4	-1.27	14.5	14.2	0.31
Anthony Tolliver	28	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-12	9	13.4	14.4	-1.05	14.7	14.1	0.66
Derrick Williams	78	77	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	-4	-7	14.2	13.7	0.48	14.3	14.2	0.01
Luke Ridnour	77	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.01	-10	-5	-5	14.3	13.6	0.63	14.1	14.6	-0.43
Kevin Love	89	89	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.07	-14	-1	-13	14.4	12.2	2.16	14.2	14.7	-0.56
Ricky Rubio	83	83	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.04	-19	4	-23	14.1	14.4	-0.31	14.0	15.6	-1.58
Wayne Ellington	70	69	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.17	-17	2	-19	14.2	13.8	0.40	14.3	14.1	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.52,0.3,0.18,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 79, BOS 71	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.18,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.0%
CHI 112, MIN 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.34,0.26,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.9%
PHX 110, SEA 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.31,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.8%