NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	109		Excitement	5.9 [648]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): +15.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	114		Comeback	1.0 [1058]		LVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): -14.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1	0.08	0.00	-0.02	9	78%	0.13	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	0.00	0.06	12	81%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Markieff Morris	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	14	56%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Ramon Sessions	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	57%	0.08	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Marcus Thornton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Jared Dudley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
John Wall	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.12,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	14	50%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.18	-0.02	-0.05	16	22%	-0.11	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.00	12	70%	0.18	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.01	13	64%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.00	19	60%	0.13	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	80%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	80%	0.09	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	7	48%	0.02	1	-0.03	11	18%	-0.11
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.6	32.6	15.6	25.5	2.4	39.5	140.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +21.1%

LAC +8.6%

LAC +4.5%

LAC +10.2%

LAC +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAC	NBA	WAS	LAC	NBA
this game	12.8	15.6	14.9	106.9	112.9	105.1
season	13.8	14.8		104.1	106.6
opponent	14.9	15.1		102.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.3	13.3	13.4	11.2	12.8
LAC	15.5	14.4	15.5	16.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	28	27	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.11	5	-10	15	10.7	13.6	-2.89	15.0	15.8	-0.78
Marcus Thornton	9	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-1	-3	13.2	12.8	0.45	14.5	15.7	-1.19
Garrett Temple	31	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-2	-1	11.7	13.3	-1.54	14.2	16.1	-1.91
Marcin Gortat	58	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-7	9	14.0	11.2	2.75	16.1	14.9	1.16
Ramon Sessions	52	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	0	-5	12.5	13.1	-0.64	15.1	16.0	-0.90
Otto Porter	69	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.29	0	-5	5	13.2	12.1	1.07	15.3	16.1	-0.77
Bradley Beal	80	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-7	9	13.0	12.2	0.81	16.1	13.3	2.77
Nene	44	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	2	-9	11.2	14.0	-2.75	14.9	16.1	-1.16
John Wall	65	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	0	-5	12.9	12.6	0.34	16.3	14.3	2.01
Markieff Morris	74	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.24	-10	5	-15	13.6	10.7	2.89	15.8	15.0	0.78

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	50	50	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.17	22	-17	39	16.6	14.6	1.95	13.4	12.3	1.11
JJ Redick	60	61	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.20	7	-2	9	15.7	15.3	0.43	13.8	11.4	2.34
Chris Paul	65	64	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.21	6	-1	7	16.1	14.6	1.45	13.9	11.0	2.85
DeAndre Jordan	70	72	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.22	5	0	5	15.9	14.9	0.92	13.7	10.8	2.90
Jamal Crawford	53	55	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	4	-3	15.7	15.4	0.26	11.4	14.5	-3.15
Luc Mbah a Moute	50	51	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.25	-1	6	-7	15.0	16.1	-1.06	14.3	11.3	2.96
Austin Rivers	46	43	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.30	-5	10	-15	14.5	16.5	-2.01	11.0	14.1	-3.14
Cole Aldrich	25	25	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	4	-3	13.8	16.2	-2.36	11.0	13.4	-2.35
Wesley Johnson	53	55	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.32	-7	12	-19	16.0	15.1	0.90	12.2	13.6	-1.37
Jeff Green	33	34	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	9	-13	14.9	15.9	-0.94	11.2	13.6	-2.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.62,0.55,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 98, DET 104	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.55,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	95.5%
VAN 90, LAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.95,1,1,1,1	94.8%
CLE 72, CHH 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%