NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	72		Excitement	4.2 [938]		MVP	Ricky Pierce (CHH): +11.9%
Charlotte Hornets	90		Comeback	1.1 [966]		LVP	Bob Sura (CLE): -11.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Geary	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.03	7	71%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	5	43%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donny Marshall	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	5	30%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Lang	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mark West	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	12	48%	-0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Danny Ferry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	14	46%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	73%	0.05	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Mills	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	12	38%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	7	27%	-0.09	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Pierce	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	7	86%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	76%	0.08	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Donald Royal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rafael Addison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	11	60%	0.06	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Glen Rice	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	20	47%	-0.02	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	10	67%	0.06	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.0	27.3	15.6	23.3	0.7	26.7	119.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +29.7%

CHH +3.2%

CHH +13.6%

CLE -1.4%

CHH +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHH	NBA	CLE	CHH	NBA
this game	19.3	16.1	15.6	86.7	113.9	104.4
season	17.8	15.7		102.1	108.0
opponent	16.0	16.1		106.5	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	22.4	17.3	19.6	18.1	19.3
CHH	13.2	15.5	17.2	18.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawnelle Scott	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-14	10	15.2	19.7	-4.50	17.1	16.0	1.10
Donny Marshall	20	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.13	-7	-11	4	17.4	20.0	-2.55	16.8	15.9	0.85
Vitaly Potapenko	21	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.15	-9	-9	0	17.5	20.0	-2.43	16.9	15.8	1.07
Mark West	17	14	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-16	14	18.5	19.5	-1.02	17.9	15.8	2.17
Antonio Lang	34	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.13	-11	-7	-4	17.7	20.4	-2.71	16.6	15.8	0.78
Reggie Geary	41	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.07	-5	-13	8	17.8	20.9	-3.12	16.9	15.4	1.49
Tyrone Hill	44	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	-12	6	20.9	17.5	3.39	15.4	17.0	-1.62
Bobby Phills	49	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-7	-4	20.4	17.8	2.56	15.5	17.1	-1.58
Chris Mills	60	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-10	2	19.7	18.3	1.43	16.3	15.8	0.45
Danny Ferry	62	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-7	-4	20.0	17.5	2.49	15.8	17.0	-1.11
Bob Sura	61	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.04	-16	-2	-14	20.2	17.0	3.12	15.5	17.6	-2.07

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Mason	70	75	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.13	23	-5	28	16.7	11.8	4.92	19.7	15.7	3.97
Vlade Divac	64	68	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.07	20	-2	22	15.8	17.7	-1.97	20.0	16.5	3.42
Glen Rice	73	78	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.06	19	-1	20	16.7	9.8	6.82	19.7	14.2	5.47
Dell Curry	48	49	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.17	20	-2	22	16.2	16.0	0.23	18.8	20.1	-1.32
Muggsy Bogues	64	66	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	8	2	16.3	15.4	0.91	19.6	18.5	1.09
Tony Smith	16	18	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	13	-8	14.4	16.6	-2.13	17.7	19.8	-2.06
Ricky Pierce	22	25	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.06	2	16	-14	17.0	15.8	1.19	21.7	18.3	3.41
Donald Royal	15	14	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	20	-22	12.2	17.1	-4.86	16.4	19.9	-3.58
Matt Geiger	15	15	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	20	-22	17.7	15.8	1.97	16.5	20.0	-3.42
Rafael Addison	8	7	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	23	-28	13.0	16.5	-3.49	14.9	19.7	-4.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.96,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 93, DET 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.75,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.76,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.8%
SAC 105, GSW 117	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.8%
CHA 81, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.7%