NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	110		Excitement	7.8 [304]		MVP	Brook Lopez (BKN): +25.0%
Brooklyn Nets	120		Comeback	7.9 [73]		LVP	Monta Ellis (IND): -19.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.04	0.02	8	100%	0.21	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.02	0.01	7	82%	0.15	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.03
Jordan Hill	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	0.00	7	75%	0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.04
Ty Lawson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
CJ Miles	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.03	-0.02	8	71%	0.10	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Solomon Hill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.07,-0.03,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	21	52%	0.16	4	-0.19	10	80%	0.03
Rodney Stuckey	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	6	37%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Myles Turner	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	7	37%	-0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Monta Ellis	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	0.00	4	37%	-0.07	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.14,0.25,0.25	0.25	-0.03	0.28	0.00	16	51%	0.36	4	-0.10	13	69%	-0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.08	0.01	14	64%	0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.01	3	100%	0.19	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.03
Henry Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	71%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Markel Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	70%	0.10	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Sergey Karasev	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.09	-0.07	0.04	7	81%	0.10	3	-0.12	7	86%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.04	6	78%	0.08	3	-0.13	6	100%	0.03
Chris McCullough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.0	34.2	14.7	29.3	2.5	39.5	146.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +43.3%

IND -2.9%

BKN +12.0%

IND -1.1%

IND -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BKN	NBA	IND	BKN	NBA
this game	13.7	13.3	14.9	103.8	112.1	105.1
season	14.6	15.0		103.2	101.9
opponent	14.8	14.9		109.3	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.0	14.2	14.1	14.6	13.7
BKN	14.2	14.1	12.5	12.6	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	39	36	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.02	3	-13	16	13.4	13.9	-0.55	14.1	12.9	1.21
Jordan Hill	48	47	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-12	14	13.6	13.8	-0.19	13.2	13.4	-0.22
CJ Miles	33	32	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-10	10	13.7	13.7	0.03	13.4	13.3	0.05
Ty Lawson	31	31	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-10	10	13.9	13.6	0.28	14.4	12.9	1.48
Solomon Hill	1	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	-6	2	8.0	13.8	-5.76	21.0	13.3	7.74
Lavoy Allen	40	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.26	4	-14	18	14.0	13.5	0.51	14.4	12.7	1.61
Myles Turner	63	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-2	-6	13.7	13.7	-0.06	12.7	14.3	-1.59
Monta Ellis	72	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.21	-8	-2	-6	13.6	13.9	-0.30	13.1	13.9	-0.84
Ian Mahinmi	56	58	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.26	-10	0	-10	14.0	13.3	0.70	13.7	12.9	0.88
Paul George	77	78	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.18	-14	4	-18	13.5	14.4	-0.92	13.0	14.2	-1.24
George Hill	70	74	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.22	-15	5	-20	13.9	13.3	0.61	12.8	14.6	-1.84

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bojan Bogdanovic	61	62	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.27	22	-12	34	13.4	13.2	0.17	14.4	12.8	1.60
Markel Brown	19	18	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.17	14	-4	18	12.6	13.5	-0.92	13.9	13.7	0.29
Brook Lopez	84	82	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.24	10	0	10	13.6	12.4	1.20	14.2	12.0	2.15
Donald Sloan	44	45	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.25	5	5	0	14.2	12.7	1.51	14.2	13.3	0.86
Sergey Karasev	59	57	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	-3	16	13.0	13.8	-0.79	13.7	13.7	-0.05
Sean Kilpatrick	51	52	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.17	1	9	-8	13.5	13.1	0.41	13.4	14.0	-0.67
Shane Larkin	63	61	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	5	0	12.7	14.2	-1.51	13.3	14.2	-0.86
Thaddeus Young	68	66	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	9	-8	13.4	13.2	0.21	13.5	14.1	-0.63
Chris McCullough	29	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.01	-2	12	-14	13.2	13.4	-0.23	13.3	13.9	-0.55
Henry Sims	20	21	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	14	-18	12.7	13.5	-0.72	12.7	14.0	-1.24
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	37	37	-0.43	0.93	-1.37	0.01	-15	25	-40	13.6	13.2	0.39	13.2	14.0	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.39,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.16,0.23,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.3,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.34,0.53,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 99, PHI 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.22,0.15,0.26,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.6,0.53,0.59,0.72,0.68,0.99,1	91.5%
SAC 79, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.19,0.3,0.46,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.91,0.98,1	91.1%
NYK 78, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.77,0.96,1	90.9%