NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	78		Excitement	7.7 [258]		MVP	Chris Childs (NYK): +11.5%
Sacramento Kings	86		Comeback	5.5 [69]		LVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): -23.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Childs	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.05	-0.02	9	77%	0.26	3	-0.14	4	75%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.04	0.00	7	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Chris Dudley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Larry Johnson	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	9	25%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Allan Houston	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	11	50%	-0.05	3	-0.11	2	0%	-0.03
John Starks	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.2	-0.18	-0.08	-0.06	6	0%	-0.10	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24	-0.04	-0.21	-0.00	19	52%	-0.07	4	-0.17	2	50%	-0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.06	-0.00	18	47%	0.10	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	4	67%	0.06	2	-0.10	4	50%	-0.01
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	8	39%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Grimm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	8	39%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	6	43%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.07	-0.02	7	56%	-0.01	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.09	-0.13	0.01	18	49%	-0.09	4	-0.15	11	100%	0.13

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.4	24.4	15.4	24.4	2.4	34.5	131.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -23.8%

SAC +31.5%

SAC +46.9%

NYK -4.0%

NYK -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAC	NBA	NYK	SAC	NBA
this game	16.1	15.4	15.6	84.8	94.5	102.5
season	15.7	15.2		100.4	98.5
opponent	15.3	16.3		104.3	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.3	16.0	18.2	16.4	16.1
SAC	12.8	15.3	17.0	17.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buck Williams	19	18	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.07	7	-15	22	14.5	16.5	-2.02	14.2	15.7	-1.53
Chris Dudley	25	24	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.05	6	-14	20	15.0	16.5	-1.48	17.4	14.7	2.75
Chris Mills	29	29	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.10	7	-15	22	15.2	16.5	-1.27	16.3	15.0	1.34
Charlie Ward	35	35	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.04	1	-9	10	15.6	16.4	-0.72	15.8	15.2	0.61
John Starks	36	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	-6	4	15.6	16.4	-0.76	15.4	15.4	0.01
Charles Oakley	71	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	3	-14	16.3	15.3	1.02	15.6	14.6	0.96
Allan Houston	59	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.24	-10	2	-12	16.2	15.8	0.40	14.5	17.1	-2.58
Chris Childs	58	56	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.30	-9	1	-10	16.3	15.7	0.54	15.2	15.8	-0.61
Patrick Ewing	67	67	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.22	-14	6	-20	16.5	15.0	1.48	14.7	17.4	-2.75
Larry Johnson	61	60	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.26	-15	7	-22	16.9	14.4	2.50	15.9	14.3	1.63

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lawrence Funderburke	34	36	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.10	15	-7	22	15.5	15.4	0.12	16.4	15.9	0.56
Michael Stewart	43	44	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.35	5	3	2	16.0	14.8	1.23	16.4	15.8	0.59
Mitch Richmond	73	74	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.25	8	0	8	15.2	16.2	-1.03	15.9	16.8	-0.94
Anthony Johnson	54	55	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	4	0	15.1	15.8	-0.75	16.5	15.5	0.94
Corliss Williamson	82	82	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	8	-8	15.7	12.7	3.03	16.4	13.7	2.67
Billy Owens	61	61	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.19	3	5	-2	14.5	17.2	-2.69	15.9	16.4	-0.52
Terry Dehere	41	41	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	3	2	16.5	14.5	1.94	15.9	16.2	-0.27
Olden Polynice	48	48	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.08	3	5	-2	14.8	16.0	-1.23	15.8	16.4	-0.59
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	14	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	9	-10	14.5	15.6	-1.06	16.0	16.1	-0.09
Derek Grimm	5	5	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.03	-2	10	-12	20.8	15.1	5.72	11.0	16.4	-5.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.77,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 98, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.72,0.97,0.92,1	91.6%
NJN 100, POR 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.23,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.16,0.21,0.38,0.23,0.41,0.4,0.6,0.47,0.46,0.76,0.73,1	91.5%
VAN 102, POR 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.3,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.68,0.92,1	91.2%