NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	87		Excitement	5.4 [752]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +17.8%
San Antonio Spurs	108		Comeback	1.4 [1112]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -11.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.06	-0.03	13	54%	0.11	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	9	70%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	8	80%	0.13	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02
Cole Aldrich	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.02	0.04	4	78%	0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.02	16	63%	0.08	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Pablo Prigioni	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	2	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	9	27%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Austin Rivers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	5	33%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.08

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.09	-0.01	8	72%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.06	-0.01	7	57%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	9	75%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.02	0.04	5	120%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	15	62%	0.14	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.02	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	16	47%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	75%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	28.3	14.6	26.2	1.8	27.0	126.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +30.8%

LAC -0.8%

SAS +7.5%

SAS +12.2%

SAS +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAS	NBA	LAC	SAS	NBA
this game	17.0	16.1	14.9	100.0	124.1	105.1
season	14.8	15.7		106.6	109.0
opponent	14.7	14.9		97.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.2	16.5	15.3	19.0	17.0
SAS	15.5	17.0	16.0	16.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	59	61	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.01	2	-23	25	16.7	17.5	-0.84	16.7	14.8	1.95
Jeff Green	56	56	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.19	-6	-15	9	17.0	16.9	0.15	16.7	15.0	1.72
DeAndre Jordan	67	66	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-19	17	16.9	17.3	-0.43	16.5	15.0	1.56
JJ Redick	52	52	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-17	13	16.7	17.4	-0.77	16.6	15.4	1.19
Luc Mbah a Moute	41	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-18	15	15.8	18.0	-2.15	16.7	15.6	1.11
Wesley Johnson	37	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.08	-16	-5	-11	17.6	16.5	1.19	15.4	16.7	-1.32
Jamal Crawford	40	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.18	-20	-1	-19	18.0	16.0	2.01	15.0	17.1	-2.01
Cole Aldrich	25	24	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.08	-18	-3	-15	17.2	16.9	0.27	16.7	15.9	0.73
Austin Rivers	33	33	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	-3	-15	17.3	16.7	0.59	14.6	17.1	-2.47
Pablo Prigioni	25	23	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.02	-20	-1	-19	16.8	17.0	-0.18	14.7	16.7	-2.02

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	32	33	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.04	19	2	17	14.3	17.2	-2.94	17.9	16.4	1.57
Danny Green	47	47	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.17	23	-2	25	16.4	15.8	0.58	17.1	16.8	0.26
Kyle Anderson	26	27	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.00	14	7	7	15.4	16.5	-1.07	16.7	17.1	-0.38
Patty Mills	45	44	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.01	14	7	7	14.9	17.5	-2.54	17.2	16.7	0.53
Boris Diaw	23	24	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	11	-1	15.9	16.2	-0.36	18.5	16.4	2.18
Kevin Martin	23	21	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	11	-1	15.4	16.4	-1.01	17.1	16.9	0.23
Tim Duncan	41	41	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	21	-21	17.5	14.9	2.55	15.5	18.3	-2.79
Manu Ginobili	30	29	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	20	-19	14.5	17.0	-2.45	16.9	17.0	-0.16
Kawhi Leonard	60	60	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.20	8	13	-5	16.6	15.0	1.60	17.1	16.7	0.38
Andre Miller	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	18.5	16.0	2.54	16.8	17.0	-0.14
Boban Marjanovic	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	18	-15	18.5	16.0	2.54	17.3	16.9	0.35
Tony Parker	42	44	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.19	4	17	-13	17.2	15.2	2.03	16.8	17.1	-0.30
LaMarcus Aldridge	54	52	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.08	-2	23	-25	16.8	15.1	1.74	16.5	17.6	-1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 79, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.62,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.92,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
LAC 104, NYK 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.98,1	93.8%
BOS 79, OKC 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.75,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1	93.6%