NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	107		Excitement	3.8 [1078]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): +16.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	89		Comeback	1.8 [680]		LVP	Jabari Parker (MIL): -4.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.19	-0.01	0.01	9	81%	0.22	2	-0.05	13	85%	0.03
Bismack Biyombo	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	7	86%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	11	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	15	53%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
James Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	10	55%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lucas Nogueira	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	37%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0.04	12	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	47%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Damien Inglis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	8	53%	-0.00	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.01
Rashad Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Johnny O'Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	0.04	12	51%	-0.01	1	-0.02	11	55%	-0.04
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.06	-0.04	0.07	16	51%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.8	28.2	15.8	28.2	2.5	27.4	128.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +45.8%

MIL -1.5%

TOR +8.2%

MIL -5.6%

TOR +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIL	NBA	TOR	MIL	NBA
this game	17.6	15.5	14.9	124.4	101.1	105.1
season	16.1	14.8		107.2	102.8
opponent	15.3	14.8		107.2	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	18.5	18.1	15.7	18.2	17.6
MIL	15.8	15.5	17.8	13.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	50	52	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.00	21	-3	24	16.1	19.7	-3.65	17.1	13.2	3.95
Luis Scola	45	45	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	6	6	16.4	19.0	-2.53	16.4	14.5	1.89
Bismack Biyombo	45	46	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	5	8	16.4	19.0	-2.67	16.7	14.2	2.41
Norman Powell	63	63	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	8	2	17.5	17.9	-0.33	15.3	16.1	-0.81
Cory Joseph	45	45	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	9	0	19.1	16.0	3.02	14.4	16.7	-2.34
Terrence Ross	52	55	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.16	11	7	4	18.5	16.3	2.16	14.5	17.1	-2.59
Jason Thompson	41	42	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	13	-8	19.0	16.4	2.67	14.2	16.7	-2.41
James Johnson	43	43	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.10	1	17	-16	17.4	17.9	-0.47	16.6	14.5	2.07
Patrick Patterson	34	36	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.06	6	12	-6	19.4	16.5	2.85	14.8	16.0	-1.18
Delon Wright	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	14.2	17.8	-3.64	13.8	15.6	-1.79
Lucas Nogueira	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	17.0	17.7	-0.68	13.1	15.7	-2.56

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Inglis	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-18	18	13.1	15.7	-2.56	17.0	17.7	-0.68
John Henson	11	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	12.5	15.9	-3.48	18.1	17.6	0.53
Miles Plumlee	26	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.21	-11	-7	-4	14.1	16.1	-1.97	18.8	17.1	1.69
Rashad Vaughn	26	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	-10	2	13.4	16.4	-2.95	18.3	17.4	0.92
Johnny O'Bryant	28	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.08	-9	-9	0	15.9	15.3	0.52	18.2	17.4	0.86
Khris Middleton	54	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-14	10	16.2	14.4	1.82	17.8	17.4	0.33
Giannis Antetokounmpo	64	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-13	8	15.0	16.8	-1.78	17.8	17.0	0.77
Tyler Ennis	52	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-5	-8	15.2	16.0	-0.80	18.2	16.8	1.46
Jerryd Bayless	51	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-7	-4	16.6	13.9	2.68	17.0	18.4	-1.40
Greg Monroe	51	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	-8	-2	16.9	13.6	3.24	16.9	18.6	-1.69
Jabari Parker	70	69	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.08	-22	4	-26	15.7	14.8	0.91	16.9	20.4	-3.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 112, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
SAS 94, BOS 73	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.35,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
IND 98, MIN 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%