NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	94		Excitement	3.9 [1007]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +14.0%
Boston Celtics	73		Comeback	1.6 [450]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -10.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.16	0.02	0.04	19	61%	0.14	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Richard Jefferson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	11	62%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Keith Bogans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	1	33%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Hairston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	8	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	70%	-0.01	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Tim Duncan	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	15	43%	0.04	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	5	100%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	-0.03	11	55%	0.09	2	-0.01	11	91%	0.02
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	15	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	8	37%	-0.00	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	2.8	31.2	19.7	32.8	1.8	31.0	147.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +36.5%

SAS +3.2%

SAS +5.8%

SAS +0.9%

SAS +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	BOS	NBA	SAS	BOS	NBA
this game	18.1	14.6	15.3	106.8	83.0	106.0
season	15.9	15.5		108.2	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.1		102.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.7	16.4	16.3	25.7	18.1
BOS	12.4	14.9	18.0	13.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	68	67	0.73	-0.23	0.95	-0.33	36	-15	51	16.9	22.1	-5.25	15.2	12.9	2.34
Richard Jefferson	52	51	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.21	27	-6	33	18.2	18.0	0.20	16.3	12.3	3.99
Matt Bonner	42	42	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	2	17	18.5	17.7	0.78	15.3	14.0	1.24
George Hill	68	69	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	8	5	18.8	15.7	3.09	14.3	15.7	-1.40
Tim Duncan	50	49	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	11	-1	16.9	19.7	-2.80	15.5	13.6	1.93
DeJuan Blair	37	39	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.07	10	11	-1	20.0	16.7	3.25	13.6	15.5	-1.93
Roger Mason Jr.	24	24	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	15	-9	17.0	18.5	-1.50	14.4	14.7	-0.36
Antonio McDyess	37	35	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	23	-25	17.3	18.7	-1.42	14.3	14.9	-0.63
Malik Hairston	6	7	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.07	-2	23	-25	18.0	18.1	-0.10	11.9	14.9	-3.02
Ian Mahinmi	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	16.7	18.2	-1.50	13.3	14.7	-1.40
Garrett Temple	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	18.0	18.1	-0.10	13.3	14.7	-1.40
Keith Bogans	43	45	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.05	-9	30	-39	19.7	16.5	3.19	13.0	16.4	-3.39

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-21	21	13.7	14.7	-1.00	18.9	18.0	0.83
Michael Finley	22	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.12	-8	-13	5	13.7	15.0	-1.27	22.3	16.7	5.64
Shelden Williams	23	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	-14	7	13.9	14.9	-0.98	15.5	19.1	-3.56
Marquis Daniels	22	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-14	7	14.6	14.7	-0.06	17.1	18.4	-1.33
Tony Allen	16	17	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	-13	5	15.4	14.5	0.98	16.1	18.6	-2.52
Nate Robinson	25	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.13	-12	-9	-3	14.5	14.7	-0.16	15.3	19.2	-3.93
Rasheed Wallace	44	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-16	11	14.5	14.8	-0.36	18.9	17.2	1.72
Paul Pierce	69	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.09	-11	-10	-1	14.3	15.8	-1.47	18.1	18.0	0.18
Glen Davis	36	36	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.07	-11	-10	-1	14.9	14.4	0.52	16.6	19.2	-2.60
Rajon Rondo	64	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-12	3	14.5	15.0	-0.50	19.2	15.3	3.93
Ray Allen	50	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.05	-12	-9	-3	15.3	13.7	1.63	17.5	18.9	-1.46
Kevin Garnett	62	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.10	-15	-6	-9	15.1	13.6	1.50	19.2	15.5	3.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.35,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 100, VAN 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.21,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
TOR 107, MIL 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
GSW 116, NYK 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%