inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 109 Excitement5.8 [664] MVPDoug McDermott (CHI): +30.3%
Toronto Raptors 107 Comeback1.1 [491] LVPCory Joseph (TOR): -7.6%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Doug McDermott0.300,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.290.020.011197%0.3000.00887%0.03
E'Twaun Moore0.160,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.130.02-0.011177%0.1600.0000%0.00
Nikola Mirotic0.120,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.120.030.08-0.011261%0.193-0.074100%0.06
Taj Gibson0.110,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.030.00876%0.131-0.021100%0.00
Aaron Brooks0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.02-0.03837%0.031-0.023100%0.02
Bobby Portis0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00650%0.0100.0000%0.00
Justin Holiday0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01-0.010.01-0.01462%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Cristiano Felicio-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jimmy Butler-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05-0.090.01-0.031832%-0.0500.00475%-0.02
Tony Snell-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.010.00425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.10.100.080.020.00965%0.1000.002100%0.01
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.090.090.12-0.010.022062%0.173-0.081385%-0.00
Jason Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.010.012100%0.0900.003100%0.01
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.013100%0.071-0.012100%0.01
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.00560%0.0200.0000%0.00
Luis Scola0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0000.0000%0.00
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.00-0.01437%-0.0000.0000%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01-0.010.07-0.040.032253%0.011-0.027100%0.04
Norman Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0130%-0.0700.0020%-0.03
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.010.03833%-0.0800.002100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.32.430.014.824.12.441.0140.1
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +46.4%
CHI +4.5%
TOR -1.9%
TOR -6.1%
CHI +7.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHITORNBACHITORNBA
this game15.616.014.9119.8117.6105.1
season14.816.1103.7107.2
opponent14.814.9104.6105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI13.116.516.316.715.6
TOR16.217.015.715.316.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
E'Twaun Moore59600.58-0.080.670.2312-102214.417.7-3.3115.816.5-0.62
Doug McDermott66660.480.020.460.335-3817.111.65.4715.816.7-0.93
Justin Holiday29320.430.070.350.0513-112412.217.2-5.0416.215.90.27
Taj Gibson66660.350.150.190.3502-215.416.0-0.6016.614.62.05
Nikola Mirotic62630.330.170.170.3302-215.016.8-1.8015.218.0-2.88
Jimmy Butler64640.210.29-0.080.47-911-2016.114.41.7516.016.3-0.31
Bobby Portis43410.180.32-0.140.1802-216.914.42.4716.815.41.38
Cristiano Felicio11110.020.48-0.46-0.0111014.715.7-1.0016.416.00.36
Tony Snell23210.000.50-0.490.06-24-614.216.1-1.9116.116.00.07
Aaron Brooks3231-0.080.58-0.670.21-1012-2217.714.43.3116.515.80.62

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terrence Ross33370.01-0.510.52-0.207-91616.315.90.4113.716.9-3.25
Jason Thompson2121-0.02-0.480.46-0.175-71219.015.23.7816.015.50.58
Norman Powell76-0.02-0.480.45-0.020-2221.315.65.6818.015.42.56
Jonas Valanciunas2020-0.05-0.450.390.00-20-216.316.00.3913.616.2-2.57
Luis Scola3233-0.17-0.330.15-0.06-42-616.016.1-0.1214.516.2-1.76
Cory Joseph4848-0.21-0.290.08-0.334-61016.215.90.2616.115.01.15
Patrick Patterson5959-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.445-71216.116.00.1216.014.81.22
James Johnson3433-0.30-0.20-0.110.02-119-2015.316.5-1.2415.115.9-0.76
DeMar DeRozan7575-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.37-31-415.916.6-0.7015.118.1-3.06
Kyle Lowry7877-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.45-1-1015.618.8-3.2716.212.53.67
Bismack Biyombo4846-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.20-108-1815.117.1-2.0317.513.73.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.31,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 98, NJN 870.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,094.5%
LAL 117, BOS 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,094.4%
UTA 93, DAL 810.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,094.2%