NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	98		Excitement	4.7 [895]		MVP	Jarvis Hayes (NJN): +7.6%
New Jersey Nets	87		Comeback	1.1 [835]		LVP	Bobby Simmons (NJN): -11.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasho Nesterovic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	4	86%	0.09	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Jarrett Jack	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.04	0.02	7	62%	0.11	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	8	76%	0.09	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Travis Diener	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	18	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
T.J. Ford	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	14	55%	0.06	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.03	12	56%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.03	21	60%	0.06	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	9	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	56%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	0.02	13	42%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	62%	0.01	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.0	30.1	14.7	24.5	2.0	36.2	134.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +31.1%

IND +4.8%

NJN -0.7%

IND +16.8%

NJN -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NJN	NBA	IND	NJN	NBA
this game	14.3	18.0	15.5	110.1	97.8	106.4
season	14.1	16.0		106.5	106.5
opponent	15.5	15.3		108.9	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.9	14.9	13.0	16.5	14.3
NJN	22.5	16.4	18.3	15.5	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasho Nesterovic	44	45	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.11	14	-3	17	15.1	13.6	1.42	18.9	17.1	1.82
T.J. Ford	66	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-5	21	14.9	12.9	1.99	17.7	19.1	-1.47
Jeff Foster	64	61	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.12	20	-9	29	14.4	14.3	0.10	18.4	17.1	1.32
Brandon Rush	43	45	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	-2	15	13.8	14.9	-1.08	18.4	17.7	0.70
Marquis Daniels	58	58	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	-1	13	14.4	14.2	0.24	18.3	17.4	0.96
Jarrett Jack	57	57	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	7	-3	15.0	13.2	1.86	16.7	20.3	-3.59
Josh McRoberts	25	27	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.29	-9	20	-29	14.3	14.4	-0.10	17.1	18.4	-1.35
Travis Diener	23	20	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.16	-5	16	-21	12.9	14.9	-1.99	19.1	17.7	1.47
Roy Hibbert	40	40	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.12	-5	16	-21	14.9	13.9	1.05	18.0	18.0	-0.02
Stephen Graham	25	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.10	-5	16	-21	11.4	15.5	-4.10	18.0	18.0	-0.07

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	23	24	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.08	7	-18	25	19.6	17.5	2.15	14.3	14.4	-0.02
Eduardo Najera	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-11	11	25.2	17.2	8.02	11.3	14.7	-3.43
Ryan Anderson	23	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-15	19	17.2	18.3	-1.13	15.5	13.9	1.58
Jarvis Hayes	59	58	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.29	8	-19	27	17.5	19.1	-1.59	15.0	13.1	1.97
Sean Williams	14	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.17	3	-14	17	14.9	18.6	-3.66	21.1	13.1	8.06
Brook Lopez	36	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-8	5	20.0	16.7	3.29	13.8	14.8	-1.01
Josh Boone	35	33	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	-2	-7	18.4	17.8	0.59	13.8	14.7	-0.89
Bobby Simmons	46	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.07	-16	5	-21	18.0	18.1	-0.11	12.9	15.9	-2.97
Yi Jianlian	57	55	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.01	-15	4	-19	17.2	19.4	-2.23	14.4	14.3	0.14
Keyon Dooling	68	68	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.09	-14	3	-17	17.6	19.2	-1.54	14.3	14.6	-0.29
Vince Carter	75	76	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.10	-20	9	-29	17.8	19.3	-1.51	14.0	16.2	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 118, PHX 110	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0	95.3%
ATL 113, MIN 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.9%
SAC 125, LAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%