NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	120		Excitement	4.3 [974]		MVP	Channing Frye (CLE): +21.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	108		Comeback	1.1 [1208]		LVP	Jordan Clarkson (LAL): -8.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.23	0.02	0.04	10	105%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.04	-0.03	10	71%	0.19	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	20	62%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	9	61%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	18	55%	0.13	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
James Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Kaun	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McRae	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.20	0.02	0.05	16	76%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.02	0.04	19	57%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	5	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marcelo Huertas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.03	10	65%	0.09	4	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.03	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	12	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.6	27.2	17.5	27.2	2.8	36.2	138.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +39.5%

LAL -3.8%

CLE +9.7%

CLE +6.0%

LAL -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAL	NBA	CLE	LAL	NBA
this game	15.6	15.4	14.9	129.0	116.1	105.1
season	15.8	15.2		110.3	100.1
opponent	14.5	14.9		109.9	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.6	16.6	16.3	16.2	15.6
LAL	15.2	17.7	15.0	13.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	47	48	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.07	23	-11	34	15.1	16.1	-1.02	16.2	14.4	1.76
Tristan Thompson	64	64	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.07	21	-9	30	16.1	14.6	1.49	15.7	14.7	1.02
Kyrie Irving	71	72	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.03	19	-7	26	15.9	14.8	1.10	15.6	14.5	1.13
LeBron James	69	67	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.19	6	6	0	15.6	15.7	-0.13	15.3	15.5	-0.20
J.R. Smith	66	65	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	5	2	15.7	15.4	0.24	15.3	15.4	-0.05
Iman Shumpert	50	49	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	9	-6	16.2	14.9	1.27	15.2	15.6	-0.40
Matthew Dellavedova	31	33	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.19	-1	13	-14	15.2	15.8	-0.63	15.2	15.4	-0.27
Sasha Kaun	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	11.0	15.7	-4.71	7.0	15.5	-8.54
Jordan McRae	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	14.3	15.7	-1.32	8.0	15.6	-7.60
Timofey Mozgov	27	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.16	-7	19	-26	14.9	15.9	-1.07	15.2	15.4	-0.19
James Jones	35	35	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.16	-9	21	-30	15.3	15.8	-0.43	14.9	15.7	-0.80

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Bass	46	46	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.26	8	-20	28	14.5	16.1	-1.61	16.4	14.9	1.54
Larry Nance Jr.	38	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.20	2	-14	16	14.9	15.6	-0.69	15.5	15.7	-0.19
Metta World Peace	27	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	-5	-2	16.0	15.1	0.96	15.5	15.7	-0.19
Tarik Black	11	10	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-4	-4	18.5	14.9	3.62	12.9	15.9	-3.04
Marcelo Huertas	55	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-6	0	16.1	14.3	1.80	15.0	16.6	-1.59
Roy Hibbert	33	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.11	-11	-1	-10	15.2	15.4	-0.22	14.7	16.1	-1.43
D'Angelo Russell	65	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.26	-1	-11	10	14.7	16.8	-2.05	15.7	15.4	0.29
Kobe Bryant	61	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	-4	-4	15.4	15.2	0.26	15.7	15.4	0.27
Julius Randle	63	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.06	-12	0	-12	15.3	15.4	-0.07	16.0	14.8	1.20
Jordan Clarkson	66	66	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.00	-17	5	-22	15.3	15.4	-0.02	16.1	14.5	1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.09,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 98, TOR 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
MIA 107, POR 100	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.36,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	95.4%
CHI 103, CHH 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%