NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	94		Excitement	4.5 [930]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +12.8%
San Antonio Spurs	104		Comeback	1.1 [1278]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -9.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Acy	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.16	-0.00	0.04	7	114%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	9	60%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	3	12%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	60%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.05	-0.03	0.07	20	56%	0.02	4	-0.08	15	67%	-0.02
Ben McLemore	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	27%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	10	30%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	11	32%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.05	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.17	0.01	0.05	11	81%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.02	8	56%	0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	57%	0.06	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	24	45%	0.09	4	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	9	61%	0.04	6	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	29.9	15.6	26.4	2.6	31.2	133.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +30.2%

SAS +6.9%

SAS +4.7%

SAS +8.9%

SAC -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	SAS	NBA	SAC	SAS	NBA
this game	13.1	15.6	14.9	94.9	103.0	105.1
season	13.9	15.7		104.8	109.0
opponent	14.7	14.6		97.9	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.0	12.4	14.5	12.9	13.1
SAS	15.2	13.3	16.8	17.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	49	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.28	8	-18	26	12.9	13.3	-0.42	14.7	16.5	-1.79
Willie Cauley-Stein	25	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.07	-6	-4	-2	13.3	13.1	0.25	14.2	16.1	-1.87
Darren Collison	68	68	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.20	1	-11	12	13.0	13.5	-0.51	15.9	15.1	0.82
Omri Casspi	42	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-3	-4	13.5	12.9	0.56	16.0	15.4	0.54
Rudy Gay	71	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.26	0	-10	10	13.0	13.5	-0.51	15.9	15.1	0.81
Ben McLemore	31	33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	1	-12	13.5	13.0	0.51	15.1	15.9	-0.82
Quincy Acy	63	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	0	-10	13.5	12.5	1.04	15.3	16.3	-1.07
Rajon Rondo	73	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	5	-20	13.0	13.6	-0.66	16.0	14.5	1.54
DeMarcus Cousins	73	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	0	-10	13.0	13.5	-0.45	16.3	14.0	2.29

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	75	73	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	5	0	16.3	13.7	2.58	13.3	12.7	0.60
Kyle Anderson	56	58	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.22	7	3	4	15.6	15.6	-0.00	14.1	11.8	2.31
Boban Marjanovic	39	35	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.00	13	-3	16	16.7	15.0	1.79	13.2	13.1	0.11
Tony Parker	67	64	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.09	9	1	8	16.3	14.3	2.03	12.9	13.6	-0.68
Matt Bonner	13	12	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.07	14	-4	18	13.2	16.0	-2.86	15.6	12.8	2.79
David West	56	58	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.13	5	5	0	15.0	16.4	-1.44	13.5	12.6	0.93
Manu Ginobili	35	34	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.11	8	2	6	15.6	15.7	-0.02	11.5	14.0	-2.44
Boris Diaw	65	63	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	10	-10	16.1	14.8	1.35	12.3	14.7	-2.41
Patty Mills	51	51	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.14	-1	11	-12	14.8	16.5	-1.62	13.2	13.0	0.17
Rasual Butler	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	13.5	15.7	-2.19	10.5	13.2	-2.69
Andre Miller	14	14	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.20	-7	17	-24	17.2	15.4	1.82	12.7	13.2	-0.49
Jonathon Simmons	32	31	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	13	-16	13.2	16.8	-3.55	13.5	13.0	0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.71,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 94, UTA 120	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.5,0.59,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
BOS 95, SAC 120	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.6,0.74,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
MEM 86, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%