NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	86		Excitement	3.4 [1095]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +10.0%
San Antonio Spurs	95		Comeback	1.4 [1169]		LVP	Drew Gooden (MEM): -9.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	9	60%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	5	90%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.02	6	71%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Cezary Trybanski	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	10	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01
Wesley Person	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	9	45%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mike Batiste	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.13	-0.00	0.17	11	75%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.02	-0.06	9	22%	-0.05	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.02	-0.03	16	64%	0.13	2	-0.03	12	83%	0.01
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	8	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	60%	0.02	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.12	0.01	-0.10	7	43%	0.02	3	-0.02	7	14%	-0.04
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	10	36%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	0.06	5	60%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.6	26.6	16.8	27.4	2.5	28.5	127.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +22.0%

SAS +5.8%

SAS +19.1%

SAS +1.9%

SAS +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAS	NBA	MEM	SAS	NBA
this game	15.5	16.4	15.5	94.5	105.6	101.6
season	15.3	15.7		101.8	102.5
opponent	15.4	15.2		96.9	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.0	14.0	17.6	13.2	15.5
SAS	15.7	18.0	14.4	17.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cezary Trybanski	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-20	31	9.3	15.9	-6.55	15.3	16.5	-1.12
Brevin Knight	31	33	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-8	7	13.7	16.3	-2.64	19.1	14.8	4.28
Shane Battier	42	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.31	6	-15	21	15.3	15.6	-0.31	15.4	17.2	-1.86
Mike Batiste	47	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-11	13	15.3	15.6	-0.36	15.2	17.6	-2.33
Gordan Giricek	41	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.37	5	-14	19	14.3	16.4	-2.15	17.7	15.2	2.49
Stromile Swift	32	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-1	-7	16.1	15.1	1.04	18.5	15.1	3.37
Lorenzen Wright	44	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.14	-14	5	-19	16.1	14.8	1.28	14.9	17.7	-2.81
Wesley Person	50	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	5	-19	16.4	14.3	2.15	15.2	17.7	-2.49
Pau Gasol	53	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	0	-9	15.3	15.6	-0.27	17.3	15.0	2.34
Drew Gooden	49	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.07	-15	6	-21	15.6	15.3	0.31	17.2	15.4	1.86
Earl Watson	60	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.22	-8	-1	-7	16.3	13.7	2.64	14.8	19.1	-4.28

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	63	65	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.18	24	-15	39	16.1	17.1	-1.05	16.8	12.0	4.78
Steven Smith	44	45	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	-7	23	16.5	16.3	0.15	16.7	14.2	2.54
Tony Parker	52	53	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.00	14	-5	19	16.8	15.8	1.02	16.6	13.8	2.76
David Robinson	48	48	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.02	11	-2	13	17.2	15.4	1.78	15.8	15.0	0.81
Bruce Bowen	47	46	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.00	9	0	9	17.7	14.9	2.77	14.9	16.0	-1.13
Manu Ginobili	44	45	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	6	-3	14.8	17.8	-3.01	15.8	15.1	0.69
Malik Rose	42	43	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	4	1	16.0	16.7	-0.80	15.0	15.8	-0.81
Steve Kerr	33	34	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.13	9	0	9	15.9	16.6	-0.74	15.1	15.7	-0.58
Stephen Jackson	38	39	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.39	-12	21	-33	16.2	16.5	-0.38	14.5	16.2	-1.73
Kevin Willis	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	21	-33	16.0	16.5	-0.47	12.8	16.1	-3.23
Danny Ferry	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	19	-29	16.8	16.3	0.47	10.6	16.0	-5.43
Anthony Goldwire	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	21	-33	16.7	16.3	0.33	10.2	16.2	-5.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 80, MIN 112	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
NYK 92, TOR 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
DEN 95, SAS 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%