inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 100 Excitement5.1 [809] MVPMike Dunleavy (CHI): +7.5%
Chicago Bulls 108 Comeback1.4 [604] LVPDwight Howard (HOU): -13.2%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Clint Capela0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00475%0.0500.0000%0.00
Donatas Motiejunas0.030,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00460%0.0300.002100%0.01
Corey Brewer0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.030.06586%0.073-0.06450%-0.02
Patrick Beverley0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,00.04-0.010.03862%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Montrezl Harrell-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00250%0.011-0.04250%-0.01
Trevor Ariza-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.011339%-0.011-0.022100%0.01
Josh Smith-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00633%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jason Terry-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Michael Beasley-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.00520%-0.0600.0000%0.00
James Harden-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12-0.05-0.040.022655%0.089-0.191486%0.02
Dwight Howard-0.130,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.010.03933%-0.092-0.04633%-0.04

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.070.070.070.00-0.00775%0.081-0.002100%0.01
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.011363%0.185-0.101292%0.04
Doug McDermott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.060.01-0.07939%0.062-0.0300%0.00
E'Twaun Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.00856%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Nikola Mirotic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.010.01558%0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Justin Holiday00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derrick Rose0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.010.001071%0.126-0.13475%0.00
Taj Gibson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.00729%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Bobby Portis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.001856%0.048-0.111471%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.22.634.215.828.82.838.0152.4
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +39.2%
CHI +4.3%
CHI +9.2%
HOU -1.1%
HOU -1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUCHINBAHOUCHINBA
this game12.614.014.992.699.1105.1
season14.014.8105.9103.7
opponent14.915.1105.1106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU13.013.910.612.812.6
CHI12.312.415.516.014.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Clint Capela32340.06-0.560.61-0.033-111411.812.9-1.0113.214.3-1.08
Patrick Beverley67680.03-0.530.56-0.4416-244012.412.9-0.4815.211.93.37
Corey Brewer54550.01-0.510.52-0.3111-193011.613.5-1.8514.313.70.59
Josh Smith2625-0.06-0.440.38-0.03-1-7612.512.6-0.1211.014.9-3.92
Montrezl Harrell2828-0.07-0.430.35-0.101-91012.012.7-0.7015.013.61.32
Donatas Motiejunas3232-0.12-0.380.250.11-80-812.712.50.2315.913.22.72
Michael Beasley99-0.22-0.280.060.01-80-815.712.33.3911.814.2-2.40
James Harden8790-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.32-2-6412.512.9-0.3714.212.81.38
Jason Terry4141-0.530.03-0.560.18-2416-4012.912.40.4811.915.2-3.37
Dwight Howard7574-0.530.03-0.57-0.21-113-1413.011.51.4514.413.01.45
Trevor Ariza8989-0.670.17-0.84-0.17-179-2612.911.01.8913.516.0-2.47

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jimmy Butler76780.64-0.140.78-0.1828-204813.814.4-0.5913.111.31.78
Mike Dunleavy67660.64-0.140.780.0520-123213.215.2-2.0113.311.32.04
Taj Gibson84840.59-0.090.670.1216-82414.113.50.6012.911.31.63
Pau Gasol89870.450.050.410.2862413.416.7-3.3312.413.0-0.55
Derrick Rose70710.270.230.040.0962413.514.8-1.2711.314.9-3.64
E'Twaun Moore56540.250.25-0.010.33-311-1414.013.90.0713.611.52.19
Nikola Mirotic36360.100.40-0.310.1008-814.513.70.7312.412.7-0.29
Bobby Portis99-0.130.63-0.770.04-614-2016.813.73.0511.012.7-1.70
Justin Holiday107-0.140.64-0.780.12-917-2615.613.81.7811.112.7-1.51
Doug McDermott4848-0.150.65-0.800.38-1826-4415.612.72.9411.513.4-1.94


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 84, TOR 1010.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.85,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
ORL 93, MIA 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.5%
LAC 90, IND 1080.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,194.4%