NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	84		Excitement	4.3 [946]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +13.2%
Toronto Raptors	101		Comeback	1.5 [885]		LVP	Bob Sura (ATL): -10.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Collier	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.02	-0.05	14	62%	0.12	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.03
Travis Hansen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.01	-0.05	18	43%	-0.02	3	-0.03	6	67%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	11	56%	0.01	4	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Crawford	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	18	44%	-0.04	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Bob Sura	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	5	36%	-0.04	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.17	0.02	0.05	19	74%	0.16	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.02	20	57%	0.13	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	10	55%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	13	47%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	14	39%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.3	25.8	0.7	20.2	1.7	25.6	97.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +39.4%

ATL -7.6%

TOR +3.2%

TOR +14.2%

TOR +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	TOR	NBA	ATL	TOR	NBA
this game	15.4	15.7	15.7	91.3	108.6	100.5
season	15.3	16.8		98.2	94.8
opponent	15.7	15.5		98.4	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.2	13.7	17.1	14.0	15.4
TOR	14.9	17.0	15.6	15.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jacque Vaughn	31	33	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.15	11	-28	39	15.7	15.3	0.38	15.9	15.6	0.31
Travis Hansen	20	19	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.05	3	-20	23	15.0	15.5	-0.54	14.5	16.0	-1.49
Josh Davis	7	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-13	9	14.1	15.5	-1.39	11.7	16.0	-4.32
Jason Collier	75	76	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-13	9	15.5	15.2	0.30	16.2	13.5	2.74
Boris Diaw	55	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.10	-16	-1	-15	15.3	15.6	-0.38	15.4	16.1	-0.66
Stephen Jackson	81	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	-3	-11	15.1	17.8	-2.72	15.7	15.6	0.17
Bob Sura	54	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	-6	-5	15.8	14.9	0.81	15.7	15.8	-0.13
Jason Terry	65	64	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.10	-24	7	-31	15.3	15.7	-0.40	15.6	15.9	-0.22
Chris Crawford	72	71	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	0.09	-26	9	-35	15.8	13.9	1.88	16.1	14.5	1.58

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	78	78	0.78	-0.28	1.06	-0.07	29	-12	41	16.0	14.4	1.56	16.0	12.4	3.62
Chris Bosh	76	77	0.70	-0.20	0.91	-0.09	27	-10	37	16.1	13.9	2.16	15.4	15.6	-0.21
Vince Carter	77	77	0.66	-0.16	0.83	-0.04	24	-7	31	16.3	12.9	3.35	16.0	12.5	3.53
Morris Peterson	59	58	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.00	10	7	3	16.0	15.2	0.79	14.8	16.4	-1.57
Donyell Marshall	66	65	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	8	1	15.2	17.0	-1.82	16.6	12.6	3.95
Corie Blount	37	35	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	9	-1	15.6	15.8	-0.15	13.7	16.5	-2.76
Dion Glover	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	15	-13	4.3	16.1	-11.76	10.5	15.5	-5.03
Roger Mason Jr.	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	15	-13	4.3	16.1	-11.76	10.5	15.5	-5.03
Rod Strickland	52	52	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.13	-6	23	-29	15.3	16.2	-0.91	15.0	15.9	-0.93
Michael Curry	7	7	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.10	-10	27	-37	16.9	15.6	1.24	13.6	15.6	-2.01
Jerome Moiso	7	7	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.10	-10	27	-37	16.9	15.6	1.24	13.6	15.6	-2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.85,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 100, CHI 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	95.2%
VAN 97, GSW 122	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
PHX 108, MIN 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%