NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	102		Excitement	5.6 [719]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +27.1%
Atlanta Hawks	92		Comeback	2.0 [745]		LVP	Paul Millsap (ATL): -15.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.27	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.24	0.07	0.03	22	77%	0.31	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.08	0.03	23	56%	0.21	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	8	78%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	12	28%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.04	10	27%	-0.09	4	-0.06	2	100%	-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.02	12	75%	0.17	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.08	20	55%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	7	25%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	12	50%	-0.01	3	-0.11	8	50%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	13	37%	-0.10	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.9	1.8	28.8	14.8	24.2	1.7	30.5	122.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +42.0%

ATL -1.1%

ATL -3.2%

GSW +6.9%

GSW +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	ATL	NBA	GSW	ATL	NBA
this game	13.9	14.5	14.9	100.0	91.1	105.1
season	13.7	14.2		112.3	104.1
opponent	15.1	15.1		100.3	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.7	13.5	14.8	14.4	13.9
ATL	16.8	12.7	12.9	16.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	60	59	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.20	20	-10	30	13.4	14.5	-1.02	16.3	12.0	4.28
Klay Thompson	79	76	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.27	16	-6	22	13.2	16.0	-2.72	15.5	11.4	4.10
Draymond Green	83	81	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.11	15	-5	20	13.3	16.1	-2.77	14.4	15.1	-0.78
Shaun Livingston	41	41	0.49	0.00	0.49	0.29	7	3	4	15.0	13.0	2.00	15.0	14.2	0.84
Harrison Barnes	64	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	-3	16	12.8	15.7	-2.92	15.3	13.2	2.07
Stephen Curry	78	76	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-3	16	13.3	15.6	-2.26	14.2	15.6	-1.38
Marreese Speights	17	16	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.10	-8	18	-26	15.8	13.5	2.29	14.5	14.5	-0.03
Leandro Barbosa	23	25	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.06	-6	16	-22	16.0	13.2	2.72	11.4	15.5	-4.10
Andre Iguodala	52	53	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.10	-12	22	-34	14.9	12.7	2.22	13.0	16.2	-3.21
Brandon Rush	13	13	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.03	-8	18	-26	17.0	13.4	3.61	10.4	15.1	-4.75

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	40	37	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.02	7	-17	24	12.7	15.7	-2.98	15.9	12.7	3.24
Mike Scott	44	45	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.13	10	-20	30	12.5	16.1	-3.55	14.8	13.1	1.69
Tim Hardaway Jr.	56	53	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.36	17	-27	44	12.9	16.6	-3.70	15.5	12.1	3.45
Mike Muscala	5	5	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-10	10	15.2	14.5	0.71	15.8	13.8	2.05
Thabo Sefolosha	49	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-9	8	14.0	15.1	-1.10	14.2	13.5	0.73
Al Horford	84	83	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-4	-2	14.7	13.7	0.98	14.0	13.1	0.92
Kent Bazemore	32	35	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.22	-20	10	-30	16.7	13.5	3.21	12.4	14.6	-2.17
Kyle Korver	65	65	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.16	-16	6	-22	15.3	13.1	2.15	13.0	15.4	-2.39
Jeff Teague	61	64	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.28	-15	5	-20	15.7	12.7	2.98	12.8	15.6	-2.79
Paul Millsap	69	72	-0.91	0.41	-1.32	-0.15	-26	16	-42	15.6	12.3	3.24	12.8	16.4	-3.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.18,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.23,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.31,0.36,0.22,0.11,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 99, NYK 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.26,0.3,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0	91.1%
MEM 103, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.11,0.22,0.09,0	90.2%
ATL 103, DEN 87	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.22,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.07,0,0,0,0,0	89.6%