NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Excitement	5.8 [675]		MVP	Randy Foye (MIN): +31.1%
New York Knicks	94		Comeback	1.0 [588]		LVP	Eddy Curry (NYK): -19.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31	0.16	0.15	-0.00	9	90%	0.33	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.02
Craig Smith	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	4	94%	0.15	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Marko Jaric	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	69%	0.06	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Mike James	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	6	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Justin Reed	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	16	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Mark Madsen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	10	52%	0.08	5	-0.12	3	67%	0.00
Rashad McCants	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	9	30%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.02	0.04	13	75%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.05	-0.00	8	53%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	19	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	13	38%	-0.06	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.08	0.02	10	62%	0.12	9	-0.32	12	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.4	28.5	16.5	24.2	2.5	35.4	134.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +37.6%

NYK -3.0%

NYK -2.3%

MIN +13.7%

MIN +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NYK	NBA	MIN	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	16.2	15.4	110.0	104.4	104.5
season	15.4	15.7		101.9	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.6		106.7	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.5	15.4	17.5	18.5	15.8
NYK	17.0	17.4	14.6	15.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashad McCants	45	44	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-7	19	15.5	16.2	-0.67	16.5	15.8	0.72
Craig Smith	47	46	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.33	6	-1	7	16.5	15.0	1.49	16.3	16.0	0.26
Trenton Hassell	32	32	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-6	17	17.7	14.8	2.89	17.6	15.4	2.20
Randy Foye	52	52	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	1	3	16.4	15.0	1.38	16.1	16.3	-0.15
Kevin Garnett	69	70	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	1	3	15.6	16.6	-1.04	16.0	16.7	-0.67
Mark Blount	49	49	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	0	5	15.7	16.0	-0.28	16.2	16.1	0.06
Mike James	38	38	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	4	-3	15.0	16.4	-1.38	16.3	16.1	0.15
Mark Madsen	10	9	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.04	1	4	-3	13.7	16.1	-2.39	17.0	16.1	0.91
Ricky Davis	58	58	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.23	-6	11	-17	14.8	17.7	-2.89	15.4	17.6	-2.20
Marko Jaric	45	46	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.16	-7	12	-19	16.2	15.5	0.67	15.8	16.5	-0.72
Justin Reed	5	6	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	11	-17	18.0	15.7	2.31	15.5	16.2	-0.73

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	49	48	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-1	-3	16.4	15.9	0.51	17.1	14.4	2.70
Nate Robinson	49	48	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.37	10	-15	25	15.3	17.3	-2.00	16.3	15.2	1.10
Malik Rose	18	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-3	1	16.8	16.0	0.75	15.9	15.8	0.09
Stephon Marbury	23	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	4	-13	16.5	16.1	0.40	12.8	17.0	-4.13
Eddy Curry	68	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.26	0	-5	5	16.4	15.6	0.72	15.6	16.6	-1.04
Channing Frye	69	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-3	1	16.0	16.9	-0.95	16.0	15.1	0.89
David Lee	39	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	4	-13	16.7	15.8	0.91	14.6	16.7	-2.13
Renaldo Balkman	56	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-3	1	15.7	16.9	-1.23	15.7	16.1	-0.38
Mardy Collins	79	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.39	-6	1	-7	16.5	13.9	2.58	16.4	12.3	4.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.26,0.3,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 98, TOR 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.17,0.11,0.01,0,0,0	94.0%
POR 123, CLE 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	93.9%
MIA 100, UTA 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.21,0.1,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.1,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.05,0	93.4%