NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	103		Excitement	6.8 [447]		MVP	Danny Granger (MIA): +21.5%
Miami Heat	95		Comeback	1.0 [844]		LVP	Hassan Whiteside (MIA): -10.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.21	0.05	0.15	-0.02	14	58%	0.27	2	-0.06	10	80%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.09	0.00	7	62%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Beno Udrih	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	8	61%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Mike Conley	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11	0.12	0.00	0.02	12	77%	0.17	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Vince Carter	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.02	0.08	-0.03	6	36%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kosta Koufos	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	4	67%	0.08	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.03
Tony Allen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.06	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Jon Leuer	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Quincy Pondexter	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.05	0.03	6	62%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.07	0.00	10	82%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.11	0.01	5	93%	0.21	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.14	-0.02	0.02	17	69%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	10	67%	0.16	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	10	35%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	10	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	2	20%	-0.07	1	-0.04	6	33%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	31.2	15.8	29.0	2.4	43.3	148.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA -4.0%

MEM +25.2%

MEM +19.8%

MEM +5.7%

MEM +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIA	NBA	MEM	MIA	NBA
this game	16.5	16.1	15.1	115.7	108.0	104.2
season	15.9	16.0		103.8	102.4
opponent	15.3	15.2		105.4	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.7	14.6	17.7	18.0	16.5
MIA	17.8	16.0	15.0	15.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	57	59	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.16	12	-4	16	16.7	16.1	0.62	15.8	16.6	-0.76
Vince Carter	40	37	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.21	6	2	4	17.1	16.0	1.12	16.9	15.5	1.36
Tony Allen	39	42	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.03	13	-5	18	15.2	17.4	-2.23	16.4	15.8	0.62
Mike Conley	60	61	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	1	6	16.3	16.7	-0.34	15.5	17.5	-2.02
Marc Gasol	62	62	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.15	4	4	0	16.8	15.7	1.03	15.0	18.7	-3.65
Kosta Koufos	27	26	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	4	0	15.7	16.8	-1.03	18.7	15.0	3.65
Beno Udrih	34	31	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	8	-8	17.3	15.9	1.35	17.4	15.4	1.97
Jon Leuer	42	41	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.05	8	0	8	16.8	16.1	0.71	17.3	15.0	2.36
Tayshaun Prince	59	56	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.44	-9	17	-26	16.7	16.0	0.75	15.6	17.0	-1.40
Quincy Pondexter	25	25	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	13	-18	14.8	17.1	-2.25	14.0	16.9	-2.96

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawne Williams	30	30	0.23	-0.73	0.95	-0.04	9	-17	26	15.3	16.5	-1.13	18.6	15.4	3.28
James Ennis	9	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-9	10	15.6	16.1	-0.58	17.3	16.4	0.97
Hassan Whiteside	27	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-8	8	17.6	15.4	2.13	17.2	16.1	1.05
Udonis Haslem	12	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-7	6	16.7	16.0	0.68	16.4	16.5	-0.09
Luol Deng	74	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-3	-2	15.6	18.4	-2.79	16.5	16.3	0.15
Mario Chalmers	71	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-5	2	15.7	17.6	-1.94	16.4	16.9	-0.58
Chris Andersen	49	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-1	-6	15.1	17.3	-2.16	16.1	16.9	-0.86
Dwyane Wade	69	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	0	-8	16.0	16.5	-0.50	16.2	17.3	-1.08
Norris Cole	49	52	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	5	-18	17.6	14.2	3.32	16.3	16.6	-0.32
Danny Granger	50	52	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.28	-13	5	-18	16.5	15.5	1.02	15.7	17.6	-1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.11,0.22,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 90, IND 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.28,0.09,0.04,0	92.5%
BOS 99, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.2,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.03,0,0,0	92.0%
DEN 104, DAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.05,0.11,0.29,0.15,0.01,0	91.8%