NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	98		Excitement	9.1 [139]		MVP	Robert Covington (PHI): +35.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	103		Comeback	4.0 [317]		LVP	Isaiah Canaan (PHI): -21.0%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markel Brown	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.18	0.13	0.00	5	125%	0.30	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.07	0.04	11	59%	0.13	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.08
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.08	-0.01	8	47%	0.11	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Wayne Ellington	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	0.02	-0.02	0.01	9	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	8	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.09
Shane Larkin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.05	0.01	-0.07	-0.00	15	65%	0.30	5	-0.35	4	50%	-0.00
Andrea Bargnani	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.00	5	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Donald Sloan	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Covington	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.28,0.35	0.35	0.01	0.34	-0.00	8	45%	0.35	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.09	0.17	-0.00	9	61%	0.26	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.04
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.11	0.01	11	75%	0.31	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.01	5	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	16	61%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	10	77%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.04
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	6	27%	-0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Kendall Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.03	-0.17	0.01	9	33%	-0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	32.3	15.5	21.3	2.4	43.0	140.4
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +56.1%

BKN -39.4%

PHI +15.9%

PHI +23.0%

BKN -5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	PHI	NBA	BKN	PHI	NBA
this game	14.6	15.3	14.9	100.0	108.4	105.1
season	15.0	14.8		101.9	97.7
opponent	14.2	14.8		108.0	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.2	16.0	15.7	12.7	14.6
PHI	14.1	17.6	14.3	15.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markel Brown	40	40	0.34	-0.84	1.17	0.16	6	-11	17	14.3	14.8	-0.48	15.7	15.0	0.79
Andrea Bargnani	18	18	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.04	2	-7	9	14.1	14.7	-0.55	16.2	15.1	1.08
Bojan Bogdanovic	47	47	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.17	-3	-2	-1	14.0	15.1	-1.12	14.7	15.9	-1.13
Thomas Robinson	30	29	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.08	-2	-3	1	13.1	15.2	-2.15	14.9	15.5	-0.57
Shane Larkin	55	53	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.19	-7	2	-9	13.9	15.3	-1.40	15.0	15.6	-0.58
Donald Sloan	43	43	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.50	1	-6	7	15.3	13.9	1.40	15.3	15.3	-0.03
Brook Lopez	68	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.48	-2	-3	1	15.2	13.1	2.15	15.7	14.4	1.26
Thaddeus Young	80	77	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.39	-7	2	-9	14.7	14.1	0.55	15.1	16.2	-1.08
Joe Johnson	60	55	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.51	-6	1	-7	14.8	14.1	0.70	15.7	14.7	0.94
Wayne Ellington	49	48	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.53	-7	2	-9	15.0	14.1	0.92	15.0	15.6	-0.55

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Covington	52	56	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.38	9	-4	13	14.5	16.2	-1.71	14.9	14.1	0.86
Jahlil Okafor	65	64	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.24	13	-8	21	15.8	14.2	1.65	14.7	14.2	0.50
TJ McConnell	55	56	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-1	7	15.4	15.2	0.16	15.5	13.3	2.23
Nerlens Noel	62	64	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.45	-3	8	-11	15.5	14.9	0.54	15.4	13.0	2.44
Jerami Grant	47	50	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	0	5	14.7	15.9	-1.21	13.9	15.2	-1.31
Hollis Thompson	58	60	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.32	-3	8	-11	16.1	14.1	2.03	13.4	16.4	-2.99
Isaiah Canaan	48	50	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.16	7	-2	9	15.5	15.1	0.41	14.3	14.9	-0.57
JaKarr Sampson	6	6	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	9	-13	17.2	15.2	2.00	16.2	14.5	1.71
Kendall Marshall	40	42	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.07	-1	6	-7	15.2	15.4	-0.16	13.3	15.5	-2.23
Nik Stauskas	42	42	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	9	-13	14.3	16.1	-1.85	15.0	14.2	0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.57,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.32,0.69,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 97, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.81,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.41,0.29,0.46,0.53,0.21,0.31,0.42,1	91.4%
NYK 100, CHI 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.54,0.7,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.47,0.58,1	91.1%
PHI 98, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.73,1	91.1%