NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	100		Excitement	9.0 [122]		MVP	Al Harrington (NYK): +24.0%
Chicago Bulls	105		Comeback	4.0 [480]		LVP	Wilson Chandler (NYK): -39.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0.24	0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.15	0.11	0.02	21	67%	0.26	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	7	60%	0.13	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.03	0.00	0.05	0.02	24	45%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
David Lee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	11	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tim Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chris Duhon	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.28	-0.05	-0.21	0.02	13	52%	-0.08	4	-0.20	3	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	-0.40	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4	-0.16	-0.27	-0.03	13	33%	-0.22	5	-0.17	7	86%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.2	0.20	0.01	0.18	-0.01	14	53%	0.28	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	9	45%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	16	47%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	11	60%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Gray	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.06	0.03	16	61%	0.09	4	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Ben Gordon	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	18	42%	-0.08	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	27.1	15.4	24.4	2.5	33.2	127.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +45.8%

NYK -0.4%

CHI +5.2%

NYK -1.9%

CHI +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	13.8	14.5	15.5	98.0	102.9	106.4
season	13.8	14.8		106.2	106.3
opponent	15.7	15.5		107.2	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.2	14.0	14.9	13.0	13.8
CHI	14.5	12.7	15.1	15.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	43	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-3	1	14.8	13.0	1.85	14.7	14.3	0.49
Jared Jeffries	37	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-2	-1	15.2	13.0	2.24	15.0	14.2	0.83
Al Harrington	89	90	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-9	13	13.3	17.0	-3.71	14.8	11.7	3.18
Quentin Richardson	86	85	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.37	-1	-4	3	13.3	16.3	-3.02	14.3	15.4	-1.06
Chris Duhon	97	96	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	1	-7	13.8	13.4	0.38	14.3	16.7	-2.33
David Lee	75	75	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.34	-7	2	-9	13.7	14.0	-0.27	14.5	14.4	0.14
Wilson Chandler	83	83	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.55	-10	5	-15	13.6	14.4	-0.81	14.0	16.6	-2.59

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	93	93	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.24	16	-11	27	14.3	16.1	-1.80	13.9	12.4	1.45
Derrick Rose	87	87	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.46	7	-2	9	14.6	13.8	0.79	13.7	14.4	-0.74
Ben Gordon	90	89	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.43	6	-1	7	14.6	13.4	1.19	13.4	16.1	-2.65
Drew Gooden	74	74	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.35	6	-1	7	14.5	14.5	-0.04	13.3	15.0	-1.65
Larry Hughes	58	59	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.24	-1	6	-7	14.5	14.4	0.07	14.0	13.4	0.60
Aaron Gray	22	23	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	4	-3	13.8	14.6	-0.83	13.1	14.0	-0.88
Joakim Noah	39	38	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	5	-5	14.4	14.5	-0.14	15.1	13.0	2.18
Andres Nocioni	47	47	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.06	-10	15	-25	14.7	14.3	0.35	14.0	13.6	0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.54,0.7,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.47,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 95, DAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.64,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.41,0.58,1	91.5%
BKN 98, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.57,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.32,0.69,1	91.1%
CHI 88, CHH 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.51,0.67,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.34,0.25,0.36,0.55,0.72,1	91.0%