NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	88		Excitement	8.7 [94]		MVP	Eldridge Recasner (CHH): +8.8%
Charlotte Hornets	92		Comeback	3.3 [233]		LVP	Toni Kukoc (CHI): -29.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dickey Simpkins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	8	73%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.05
Corey Benjamin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rusty LaRue	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	9	50%	0.11	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.03
Kornel David	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	9	48%	0.01	1	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Keith Booth	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Mark Bryant	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.03	-0.19	-0.00	3	50%	-0.09	1	-0.12	2	0%	-0.13
Cory Carr	-0.29	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.20	-0.09	0.00	10	33%	-0.10	6	-0.19	4	50%	-0.02
Toni Kukoc	-0.30	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.3	-0.10	-0.21	-0.01	24	46%	-0.12	5	-0.17	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	6	83%	0.18	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.07	0.00	12	59%	0.13	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.08
Elden Campbell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	12	63%	0.15	3	-0.11	6	50%	-0.04
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Shackleford	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chuck Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.06	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.11	-0.00	7	50%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25	-0.25	-0.09	-0.18	-0.02	12	37%	-0.20	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	29.1	15.7	24.2	1.8	33.3	130.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +8.6%

CHH +6.4%

CHH +5.6%

CHH +27.8%

CHH +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHH	NBA	CHI	CHH	NBA
this game	16.3	14.0	15.8	92.6	96.8	99.6
season	16.7	15.7		90.6	99.2
opponent	15.5	15.4		99.4	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.2	17.7	16.8	16.7	16.3
CHH	14.6	14.2	13.2	14.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rusty LaRue	56	56	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.09	1	-5	6	15.9	16.8	-0.89	13.9	14.3	-0.40
Keith Booth	28	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-2	0	17.7	15.7	1.96	12.8	14.6	-1.82
Dickey Simpkins	50	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-2	0	16.7	15.8	0.90	14.5	13.5	1.01
Corey Benjamin	25	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	4	-12	16.6	16.2	0.47	12.3	14.6	-2.27
Kornel David	49	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.31	-1	-3	2	17.3	15.2	2.13	13.6	14.5	-0.97
Toni Kukoc	78	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-4	4	15.8	18.6	-2.79	14.2	13.2	1.03
Mark Bryant	55	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	1	-6	16.3	16.3	-0.05	13.8	14.3	-0.57
Ron Harper	69	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-5	6	16.3	16.2	0.19	14.7	11.9	2.82
Cory Carr	65	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	0	-4	15.3	18.4	-3.03	14.5	13.0	1.56

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	69	69	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.46	11	-7	18	13.9	14.3	-0.34	15.8	17.6	-1.82
Eddie Jones	72	71	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.43	10	-6	16	14.2	13.3	0.89	15.8	17.9	-2.11
Elden Campbell	71	70	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.38	9	-5	14	14.3	13.3	0.98	16.2	16.5	-0.31
Bobby Phills	68	69	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.39	6	-2	8	15.0	11.6	3.39	15.8	17.7	-1.87
Chucky Brown	61	62	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.37	6	-2	8	15.3	11.8	3.51	15.4	17.9	-2.52
Chuck Person	11	11	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.01	1	3	-2	12.0	14.3	-2.29	19.0	15.9	3.06
Charles Shackleford	3	4	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	3	-2	20.3	13.8	6.52	11.7	16.5	-4.74
Brad Miller	16	15	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	7	-10	11.3	14.6	-3.26	16.7	16.2	0.44
Ricky Davis	33	33	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.02	-7	11	-18	12.2	15.0	-2.77	18.0	15.4	2.61
Derrick Coleman	45	45	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.04	-7	11	-18	12.5	15.4	-2.91	17.6	15.1	2.52
Eldridge Recasner	26	26	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.07	-7	11	-18	14.3	13.9	0.34	17.6	15.8	1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.51,0.67,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.34,0.25,0.36,0.55,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 83, MIA 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.53,0.5,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.67,0.83,1	91.6%
POR 92, WAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.62,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.76,0.85,1	91.4%
LAL 90, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.67,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.38,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.67,0.96,1	91.2%