NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	134		Excitement	5.9 [637]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +20.5%
Washington Wizards	121		Comeback	1.2 [1222]		LVP	Drew Gooden (WAS): -4.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.32	-0.03	0.08	28	86%	0.33	7	-0.13	3	67%	-0.01
Klay Thompson	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.04	19	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.01	-0.04	9	44%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	5	75%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.04	0.00	7	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Harrison Barnes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	11	52%	0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	5	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Rush	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Draymond Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	63%	0.03	4	-0.06	9	67%	-0.03
Andrew Bogut	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.05

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.25	0.01	0.11	25	73%	0.22	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.03	17	51%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	86%	0.09	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Jarell Eddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	10	60%	-0.03
Garrett Temple	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	3.3	31.6	16.4	32.8	2.8	29.4	141.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +44.4%

WAS -8.9%

GSW +11.1%

WAS -0.0%

GSW +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	WAS	NBA	GSW	WAS	NBA
this game	13.4	12.2	14.9	119.6	107.1	105.1
season	13.7	13.8		112.3	104.1
opponent	15.1	15.1		104.6	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.2	11.8	13.7	15.3	13.4
WAS	13.0	11.5	12.0	12.4	12.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	67	67	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.12	18	-5	23	13.6	13.2	0.38	11.9	12.7	-0.80
Stephen Curry	87	87	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.10	20	-7	27	12.5	16.8	-4.29	11.9	13.0	-1.12
Draymond Green	82	83	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.11	20	-7	27	12.6	15.8	-3.24	11.9	12.9	-0.94
Klay Thompson	79	80	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.10	16	-3	19	12.9	14.7	-1.84	11.9	12.8	-0.95
Andrew Bogut	43	46	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.04	9	4	5	12.9	13.8	-0.88	12.3	12.1	0.21
Brandon Rush	29	30	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	13	-13	13.1	13.6	-0.49	12.2	12.2	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	33	33	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.21	-3	16	-19	14.7	12.9	1.84	12.8	11.9	0.95
Harrison Barnes	82	81	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	14	-15	14.0	12.0	2.00	12.3	11.9	0.42
Shaun Livingston	32	33	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.22	-6	19	-25	15.7	12.5	3.25	13.0	11.8	1.12
Marreese Speights	26	25	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.16	-8	21	-29	15.7	12.7	3.00	13.1	11.9	1.21

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarell Eddie	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-11	9	15.0	12.2	2.85	10.0	13.5	-3.46
Drew Gooden	14	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-15	17	13.2	12.0	1.18	13.9	13.4	0.57
Marcin Gortat	65	63	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-14	15	12.8	11.3	1.54	13.7	13.0	0.73
John Wall	82	82	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.10	-1	-12	11	12.2	12.2	-0.07	13.2	14.0	-0.73
Jared Dudley	40	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.15	-11	-2	-9	13.1	11.7	1.43	13.5	13.4	0.05
Otto Porter	78	79	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-7	1	11.7	13.3	-1.69	13.0	14.4	-1.41
Gary Neal	41	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.27	2	-15	17	12.9	11.8	1.14	14.3	12.9	1.39
Ramon Sessions	50	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-8	3	12.1	12.2	-0.07	14.0	13.0	1.02
Nene	48	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	0	-13	11.3	12.8	-1.54	12.8	13.9	-1.08
Bradley Beal	67	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	-3	-7	11.7	12.9	-1.17	13.8	12.8	0.97
Garrett Temple	79	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.10	-22	9	-31	12.1	12.4	-0.34	13.0	14.4	-1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.28,0.31,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.28,0.38,0.21,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.21,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 106, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.33,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
IND 109, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.7%
GSW 113, HOU 106	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.05,0.01,0.01,0	93.5%