NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	106		Excitement	3.8 [1037]		MVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +14.5%
Toronto Raptors	92		Comeback	1.1 [532]		LVP	Rod Strickland (TOR): -9.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.01	0.02	18	75%	0.17	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Dajuan Wagner	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	75%	0.07	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	61%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lee Nailon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	0.01	0.07	8	79%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jason Kapono	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Battie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	10	36%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	11	46%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
LeBron James	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	13	42%	-0.04	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	4	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Archibald	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.04	15	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	15	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	16	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	10	36%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.7	25.5	15.8	26.2	2.5	23.7	117.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +32.6%

CLE +2.9%

CLE +15.3%

CLE +0.5%

TOR -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	15.5	16.5	15.7	116.5	103.4	100.5
season	15.7	16.8		99.8	94.8
opponent	15.7	15.5		98.4	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.0	15.2	17.2	15.7	15.5
TOR	18.1	16.8	14.9	16.4	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Nailon	40	39	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.05	14	0	14	16.1	15.0	1.04	16.0	16.9	-0.92
Jeff McInnis	50	52	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.18	18	-4	22	15.4	15.6	-0.12	16.7	16.2	0.51
LeBron James	64	63	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	-2	18	14.9	17.0	-2.14	16.8	15.9	0.84
Carlos Boozer	64	64	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	-2	18	14.9	17.0	-2.14	16.8	15.8	0.94
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	54	54	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.11	15	-1	16	15.3	15.8	-0.44	17.8	14.5	3.30
Tony Battie	50	48	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	7	0	16.6	14.2	2.36	16.1	17.0	-0.94
Dajuan Wagner	32	32	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.21	-1	15	-16	16.5	14.9	1.55	16.4	16.6	-0.12
Kevin Ollie	41	37	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.27	-4	18	-22	15.6	15.4	0.12	16.2	16.7	-0.51
Eric Williams	46	44	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	15	-16	15.2	15.8	-0.65	16.7	16.4	0.33
Jason Kapono	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	15.3	15.5	-0.23	11.0	16.9	-5.92
DeSagana Diop	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	15.3	15.5	-0.23	11.0	16.9	-5.92

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamond Murray	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-19	24	11.0	16.9	-5.92	15.3	15.5	-0.23
Jerome Moiso	28	29	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-14	14	16.8	16.4	0.44	15.5	15.5	-0.02
Roger Mason Jr.	23	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-16	18	15.3	17.0	-1.69	15.5	15.5	-0.02
Chris Bosh	65	66	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-6	-2	17.2	14.8	2.36	15.5	15.4	0.19
Michael Curry	41	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-10	6	16.5	16.5	0.04	15.1	15.8	-0.74
Dion Glover	25	26	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-16	18	15.9	16.8	-0.89	15.8	15.4	0.49
Rod Strickland	53	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	-7	0	16.6	16.4	0.12	15.4	15.6	-0.17
Milt Palacio	16	17	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	-2	-10	18.0	16.2	1.81	15.3	15.5	-0.25
Robert Archibald	21	23	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-12	10	14.1	17.2	-3.11	15.2	15.6	-0.37
Vince Carter	62	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.05	-13	-1	-12	16.8	15.8	1.06	15.5	15.6	-0.08
Morris Peterson	41	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.11	-15	1	-16	17.3	15.9	1.39	15.9	15.1	0.81
Donyell Marshall	64	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.10	-18	4	-22	16.5	16.5	-0.00	15.5	15.4	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.33,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 112, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
WAS 118, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.34,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.25,0.18,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
DET 93, HOU 72	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%