inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 112 Excitement4.4 [946] MVPCaron Butler (DET): +18.9%
New York Knicks 90 Comeback1.0 [1162] LVPLou Amundson (NYK): -12.2%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Caron Butler0.190,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.170.030.015117%0.1900.002100%0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.120.010.06977%0.081-0.01475%-0.00
Reggie Jackson0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.000.011659%0.122-0.06967%0.00
Anthony Tolliver0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.01-0.02956%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Greg Monroe0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.01756%0.051-0.034100%0.02
Andre Drummond0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.000.021257%0.041-0.02650%-0.03
Shawne Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jodie Meeks-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.000.01950%-0.002-0.022100%0.01
Quincy Miller-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.010.000.02650%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Joel Anthony-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02250%-0.002-0.0300%0.00
John Lucas III-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.02520%-0.021-0.0200%0.00

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.18-0.000.011278%0.222-0.06875%0.00
Cole Aldrich0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.120.010.061667%0.081-0.02450%-0.03
Lance Thomas0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.010.01475%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Ricky Ledo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02736%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Cleanthony Early0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.03939%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.080.00-0.04941%0.043-0.07475%0.00
Langston Galloway0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01837%0.012-0.053100%0.00
Quincy Acy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.110.00-0.06410%-0.022-0.03250%0.00
Shane Larkin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.030.01542%-0.052-0.05250%-0.01
Lou Amundson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.15-0.01-0.04310%-0.064-0.06425%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.92.030.216.527.02.826.2129.6
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +18.7%
DET +6.3%
DET +7.2%
DET +17.0%
DET +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETNYKNBADETNYKNBA
this game15.114.815.1115.593.8104.2
season15.716.1104.098.5
opponent15.015.3108.3105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.913.714.915.715.1
NYK13.516.313.316.314.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Tolliver59580.54-0.040.58-0.1925-32815.214.80.3415.813.32.44
Reggie Jackson63630.460.040.43-0.3026-43015.414.40.9415.014.50.51
Caron Butler50500.380.120.26-0.03148615.414.70.7213.416.3-2.90
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope70700.370.130.25-0.272202215.314.31.0514.216.3-2.03
Joel Anthony36340.370.130.24-0.191931614.415.4-1.0515.014.70.37
Quincy Miller27260.130.37-0.250.13022-2214.315.3-1.0516.314.22.03
Jodie Meeks47460.120.38-0.26-0.12814-614.715.4-0.7216.313.42.90
Andre Drummond45450.050.45-0.400.02121-2015.314.90.4014.515.1-0.57
Greg Monroe43450.040.46-0.420.01121-2015.614.60.9913.615.8-2.16
John Lucas III34330.040.46-0.430.15-426-3014.415.4-0.9414.515.0-0.51
Shawne Williams11100.000.50-0.500.06-224-2613.515.3-1.8014.914.80.12

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ricky Ledo3537-0.01-0.490.48-0.072-242615.814.21.5914.315.5-1.18
Langston Galloway6263-0.07-0.430.350.13-7-15815.313.81.5015.514.31.21
Cole Aldrich5355-0.09-0.410.32-0.183-252814.814.8-0.0415.514.51.01
Lance Thomas4950-0.09-0.410.31-0.06-1-212014.415.2-0.8715.015.1-0.02
Quincy Acy3838-0.22-0.280.050.25-16-6-1015.914.01.9115.414.80.61
Jason Smith4545-0.31-0.19-0.130.16-16-6-1013.815.7-1.9115.714.51.15
Cleanthony Early4343-0.40-0.10-0.310.07-16-6-1014.814.8-0.0014.615.4-0.76
Lou Amundson3938-0.40-0.10-0.310.18-20-2-1814.315.1-0.8613.915.8-1.86
Tim Hardaway Jr.6968-0.42-0.08-0.330.14-19-3-1614.316.1-1.8915.214.60.61
Shane Larkin4748-0.47-0.03-0.440.12-20-2-1815.014.60.4914.715.4-0.68


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 93, HOU 720.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,094.8%
LAL 103, SAC 810.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.8%
IND 103, MIA 890.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.16,0.24,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,094.6%