NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	118		Excitement	4.1 [995]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +13.0%
Boston Celtics	102		Comeback	1.0 [1171]		LVP	Phil Pressey (BOS): -15.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.21	0.01	0.10	14	84%	0.13	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Trevor Booker	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	-0.00	0.02	13	69%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.04	11	56%	0.09	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	12	52%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	6	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Kevin Seraphin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	15	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.01	0.04	9	76%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	67%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.12	-0.01	0.09	16	65%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	15	54%	0.06	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	3	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Chris Babb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	0.03	18	49%	-0.02	5	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	12	32%	-0.06	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	3.4	26.3	15.5	25.5	2.3	27.3	123.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +33.2%

WAS +3.3%

BOS -3.4%

WAS +15.9%

WAS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	15.2	14.4	15.1	121.6	104.1	105.2
season	15.1	15.4		103.8	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.5		106.0	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.6	15.7	14.5	16.0	15.2
BOS	14.2	15.6	14.3	13.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	65	64	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.43	32	-16	48	14.4	16.8	-2.46	15.4	12.4	2.97
John Wall	58	57	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.08	20	-4	24	14.5	16.2	-1.74	14.9	13.6	1.32
Trevor Ariza	60	60	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.16	22	-6	28	14.6	16.1	-1.44	14.9	13.5	1.43
Trevor Booker	53	52	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.04	12	4	8	15.5	14.8	0.72	14.6	14.1	0.47
Martell Webster	45	44	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	6	4	15.4	15.0	0.40	15.4	13.6	1.83
Nene	44	44	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.16	4	12	-8	15.1	15.2	-0.09	15.4	13.5	1.87
Bradley Beal	73	72	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.24	16	0	16	15.1	15.5	-0.45	14.9	12.8	2.08
Kevin Seraphin	8	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	24	-32	17.1	15.0	2.14	8.5	15.0	-6.55
Otto Porter	8	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	24	-32	17.1	15.0	2.14	8.5	15.0	-6.55
Garrett Temple	8	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	24	-32	17.1	15.0	2.14	8.5	15.0	-6.55
Andre Miller	39	41	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	20	-24	16.2	14.5	1.74	13.6	14.9	-1.32
Al Harrington	24	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.13	-8	24	-32	16.1	14.9	1.22	11.9	15.3	-3.34

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	63	62	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-21	26	13.3	16.2	-2.88	15.8	14.1	1.73
Avery Bradley	73	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.24	-17	1	-18	15.2	12.1	3.03	15.0	15.8	-0.84
Chris Babb	26	23	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-8	0	12.5	15.0	-2.50	14.5	15.4	-0.84
Chris Johnson	59	58	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-10	4	14.3	14.5	-0.14	15.6	14.5	1.05
Brandon Bass	52	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.07	-14	-2	-12	14.5	14.3	0.18	14.8	15.6	-0.77
Joel Anthony	58	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-15	14	14.7	13.9	0.81	15.3	15.0	0.29
Jeff Green	72	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.17	-21	5	-26	14.9	13.0	1.82	14.9	16.1	-1.21
Phil Pressey	87	85	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.05	-18	2	-20	14.4	14.3	0.12	15.2	15.2	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.34,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.25,0.18,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 123, ATL 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
SAC 98, MIL 73	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
DAL 107, NYK 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%