NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	98		Excitement	3.4 [1074]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +5.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	73		Comeback	1.0 [863]		LVP	Anthony Mason (MIL): -9.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	16	60%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Scot Pollard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.06	17	50%	0.08	3	-0.06	6	33%	-0.03
Gerald Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	9	44%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.08	10	75%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	10	59%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.04

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	7	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	12	58%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	14	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	7	36%	-0.05	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	18	39%	-0.06	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	6	43%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.5	25.6	15.5	22.5	2.3	22.6	113.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +23.3%

SAC +5.1%

SAC +3.7%

SAC +15.8%

SAC +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIL	NBA	SAC	MIL	NBA
this game	15.4	15.9	15.6	106.5	79.3	102.3
season	14.2	15.3		106.6	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.5		105.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.5	16.7	14.2	17.5	15.4
MIL	14.8	16.8	16.4	16.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	56	56	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.12	22	3	19	15.2	15.5	-0.28	16.2	15.5	0.69
Doug Christie	70	70	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.03	17	8	9	16.0	13.5	2.50	16.3	14.7	1.66
Chris Webber	79	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.18	22	3	19	15.6	13.8	1.76	16.2	14.6	1.54
Peja Stojakovic	61	62	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.26	24	1	23	14.1	17.8	-3.69	15.7	16.4	-0.72
Mike Bibby	61	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.24	22	3	19	14.1	17.7	-3.59	15.3	17.3	-2.03
Bobby Jackson	41	41	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.17	10	15	-5	16.4	14.5	1.90	15.8	16.0	-0.21
Hedo Turkoglu	40	40	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	23	-21	16.8	14.2	2.59	16.0	15.9	0.14
Lawrence Funderburke	15	14	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	23	-21	16.1	15.2	0.93	15.6	16.0	-0.36
Gerald Wallace	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	11.2	15.6	-4.40	15.0	16.0	-1.00
Chucky Brown	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	11.2	15.6	-4.40	15.0	16.0	-1.00
Scot Pollard	27	28	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.10	2	23	-21	16.2	15.0	1.17	16.3	15.8	0.54

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	8	8	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-27	29	17.5	15.8	1.70	13.9	15.5	-1.63
Greg Foster	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-22	19	16.0	15.9	0.06	14.7	15.4	-0.70
Greg Anthony	40	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.20	-10	-15	5	15.3	16.5	-1.19	16.9	14.2	2.70
Darvin Ham	38	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.20	-10	-15	5	15.6	16.2	-0.67	16.9	14.3	2.66
Ervin Johnson	34	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.15	-9	-16	7	16.2	15.8	0.41	16.3	14.8	1.53
Michael Redd	37	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.29	-17	-8	-9	15.4	16.3	-0.99	16.4	14.6	1.80
Joel Przybilla	45	47	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.10	-16	-9	-7	16.3	15.6	0.72	14.4	16.3	-1.91
Glenn Robinson	64	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-14	3	16.4	14.8	1.62	15.1	15.9	-0.79
Anthony Mason	65	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.05	-12	-13	1	16.2	15.4	0.71	15.1	16.0	-0.91
Ray Allen	63	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	-10	-5	16.0	15.9	0.12	15.4	15.4	-0.01
Sam Cassell	60	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.24	-24	-1	-23	15.6	16.6	-1.04	13.7	18.4	-4.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 78, POR 66	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
CHA 101, LAL 82	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
PHX 98, SAC 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%