NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	123		Excitement	10.5 [51]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +38.8%
Houston Rockets	122		Comeback	10.4 [76]		LVP	Clint Capela (HOU): -30.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.29	0.11	0.17	-0.00	8	76%	0.32	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.04
Ramon Sessions	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.19,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.11	0.00	8	77%	0.24	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Gary Neal	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.14	0.07	0.00	5	120%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.16	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.09	0.01	4	87%	0.23	2	-0.07	7	71%	-0.02
Nene	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	77%	0.11	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.06
Drew Gooden	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	3	83%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	9	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	9	55%	0.03	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Garrett Temple	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	14	39%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.05,0.02,-0.1	-0.12	0.01	-0.00	22	39%	0.06	4	-0.16	5	80%	0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.39	0.39	0.29	0.11	0.02	20	80%	0.45	2	-0.06	10	100%	0.09
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.10	-0.01	11	65%	0.22	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.08	0.02	10	75%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.01	11	67%	0.20	2	-0.07	8	75%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	4	70%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	9	50%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.02	-0.15	0.00	7	43%	-0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.31,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.14	-0.16	0.00	3	7%	-0.16	2	-0.14	8	12%	-0.17

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.5	34.1	14.8	27.3	2.5	47.6	152.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +36.1%

WAS +9.6%

WAS +13.0%

HOU -6.3%

HOU -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	HOU	NBA	WAS	HOU	NBA
this game	13.7	15.4	14.9	123.0	124.5	105.1
season	13.8	14.0		104.1	105.9
opponent	15.1	15.1		106.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.9	13.7	13.6	12.9	13.7
HOU	16.4	14.6	17.1	13.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	38	37	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.49	7	-6	13	13.5	13.8	-0.37	15.9	15.1	0.86
Jared Dudley	75	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	0	1	13.8	13.5	0.24	15.4	15.3	0.14
Garrett Temple	70	70	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.32	3	-2	5	13.7	13.8	-0.14	15.5	15.2	0.22
Otto Porter	23	23	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	-4	9	15.0	13.3	1.63	17.9	14.6	3.27
Bradley Beal	64	61	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.48	-5	6	-11	13.0	15.0	-1.99	14.5	17.0	-2.51
Nene	42	40	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	-5	11	13.4	13.9	-0.55	15.2	15.6	-0.35
John Wall	76	75	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.41	-5	6	-11	13.7	13.8	-0.12	14.9	17.2	-2.36
Drew Gooden	25	23	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	1	-1	13.5	13.8	-0.24	15.3	15.4	-0.14
Marcin Gortat	53	53	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	3	-5	14.1	13.2	0.92	15.9	14.8	1.08
Gary Neal	34	33	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.14	-3	4	-7	14.3	13.4	0.94	15.4	15.4	-0.02

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ty Lawson	40	40	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-6	11	14.6	16.0	-1.37	14.0	13.5	0.50
Dwight Howard	56	56	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	0	-1	16.9	13.5	3.38	14.6	12.6	1.94
Terrence Jones	11	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	4	-9	18.3	15.0	3.23	12.3	13.9	-1.60
Trevor Ariza	72	75	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.34	6	-7	13	15.2	16.1	-0.96	13.5	14.3	-0.77
Corey Brewer	61	62	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	5	-11	15.4	15.4	0.05	14.3	12.7	1.68
Jason Terry	31	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.46	5	-6	11	15.0	15.6	-0.64	13.1	14.0	-0.87
James Harden	76	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	0	-1	15.3	15.7	-0.41	13.4	14.7	-1.24
Josh Smith	34	37	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.51	0	-1	1	16.1	15.0	1.13	13.2	14.0	-0.81
Clint Capela	42	44	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.46	-2	1	-3	13.5	16.9	-3.38	12.6	14.6	-1.94
Patrick Beverley	72	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.39	-5	4	-9	15.3	15.6	-0.23	14.1	12.7	1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.66,0.63,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.41,0.71,0.66,0.81,0.79,0.47,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 96, OKC 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.64,0.46,0.53,0.71,0.45,0.02,0	90.5%
CLE 93, SAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.54,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.59,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.57,0.16,0	90.3%
IND 74, CHA 71	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.08,0	90.1%