inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 107 Excitement8.3 [230] MVPLuol Deng (MIA): +23.2%
Milwaukee Bucks 103 Comeback1.8 [613] LVPKhris Middleton (MIL): -30.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luol Deng0.230,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.23,0.23,0.230.060.16-0.011162%0.251-0.024100%0.03
Chris Bosh0.150,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.15,0.150.080.070.011165%0.202-0.05989%0.04
Dwyane Wade0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.08,0.120.040.100.021362%0.314-0.191377%0.03
Amar'e Stoudemire0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.040.01967%0.1000.0000%0.00
Gerald Green0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.000.04-0.021045%0.0700.00250%-0.02
Justise Winslow-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.03-0.00550%-0.001-0.032100%0.01
Goran Dragic-0.050,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.010.03867%0.054-0.11250%-0.01
Beno Udrih-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.04-0.00462%0.043-0.1100%0.00
Josh McRoberts-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.05-0.050.00333%-0.042-0.0700%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Greg Monroe0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.130.080.021462%0.1900.001191%0.07
Rashad Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.060.06-0.004100%0.151-0.0200%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.120.120.060.070.011768%0.356-0.23786%0.03
Miles Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.04-0.00667%0.0900.0000%0.00
Tyler Ennis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.0300%0.002-0.0100%0.00
Michael Carter-Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.020.01945%-0.022-0.05250%-0.06
Jabari Parker0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.070.011359%0.034-0.123100%0.02
Jerryd Bayless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.06-0.060.0040%-0.1300.0000%0.00
Khris Middleton0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.31-0.31-0.15-0.140.011329%-0.164-0.145100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.52.330.515.327.32.538.5142.0
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +47.6%
MIL -0.4%
MIL -6.8%
MIA +7.8%
MIA +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAMILNBAMIAMILNBA
this game14.514.414.9107.0104.0105.1
season15.514.8104.5102.8
opponent15.315.1107.2103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA12.914.917.513.014.5
MIL15.413.911.517.214.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Justise Winslow69680.54-0.040.580.405-1613.616.6-3.0814.813.51.32
Goran Dragic64660.430.070.350.4304-414.714.20.4214.614.10.50
Chris Bosh70700.420.080.330.3622014.813.90.8414.514.20.36
Luol Deng70680.360.140.220.3313-214.614.40.1714.214.9-0.70
Dwyane Wade69670.320.180.150.2913-214.315.1-0.8414.314.7-0.48
Josh McRoberts33320.260.240.020.038-41214.114.7-0.6414.714.30.48
Gerald Green39410.090.41-0.310.0613-216.113.52.6414.114.7-0.56
Beno Udrih36330.070.43-0.35-0.0440414.214.7-0.4214.114.6-0.50
Amar'e Stoudemire50500.000.50-0.500.06-26-814.814.20.5614.314.6-0.29

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Ennis1111-0.01-0.490.47-0.010-4414.014.5-0.4815.414.40.95
Miles Plumlee3027-0.11-0.390.290.04-51-615.414.01.3514.614.50.10
Khris Middleton8284-0.11-0.390.28-0.348-122013.618.4-4.7414.415.2-0.79
Rashad Vaughn2423-0.18-0.320.140.03-73-1015.614.11.5314.014.7-0.73
Michael Carter-Williams5557-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.25-2-2014.414.5-0.1413.915.4-1.49
Giannis Antetokounmpo9496-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.496-101614.317.6-3.3414.88.06.79
Greg Monroe6973-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.421-5614.015.4-1.3514.514.6-0.10
Jerryd Bayless5150-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.09-139-2214.414.40.0113.915.1-1.16
Jabari Parker7979-0.600.10-0.70-0.37-84-1215.211.33.9215.212.03.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.47,0.33,0.27,0.4,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.45,0.14,0.28,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 115, HOU 1070.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.28,0.31,0.27,092.2%
HOU 69, OKC 650.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.35,0.28,0.38,0.36,0.24,0.1,091.8%
PHX 95, UTA 870.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.29,0.38,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.17,0.33,0.15,091.5%