inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 109 Excitement7.7 [314] MVPDeMar DeRozan (TOR): +29.8%
Toronto Raptors 115 Comeback2.0 [659] LVPJared Sullinger (BOS): -12.8%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.250.170.080.001086%0.2500.001100%0.01
Avery Bradley0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.090.060.050.011468%0.183-0.0900%0.00
Jae Crowder0.080,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.080.120.000.031177%0.151-0.0600%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.010.004100%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Evan Turner0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00669%0.092-0.06475%0.01
Isaiah Thomas-0.020,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.020.01-0.030.001950%0.022-0.044100%0.02
Marcus Smart-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.030.00550%0.011-0.052100%0.01
Tyler Zeller-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.00629%-0.0400.0020%-0.03
Amir Johnson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00333%0.002-0.0700%0.00
Jared Sullinger-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.12-0.03-0.01719%-0.062-0.07250%-0.02

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.30.300.130.17-0.002558%0.342-0.04989%0.02
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.100.15-0.01978%0.271-0.0200%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.150.060.01995%0.241-0.04250%-0.02
Luis Scola0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.140.020.021275%0.1400.0000%0.00
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.02-0.02743%-0.0000.0000%0.00
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.010.03383%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03-0.03-0.050.040.021158%0.166-0.192100%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.00-0.00150%0.022-0.06425%-0.08
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01617%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.22.326.314.826.32.535.3129.9
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +43.2%
BOS -2.1%
TOR +1.3%
TOR +9.3%
BOS -1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSTORNBABOSTORNBA
this game13.816.114.9114.7118.6105.1
season13.916.1104.5107.2
opponent14.815.0104.6101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.813.612.213.913.8
TOR15.516.316.016.816.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jonas Jerebko27290.11-0.610.73-0.2412-183014.713.51.2017.415.61.78
Tyler Zeller1515-0.07-0.430.360.02-3-3015.313.61.7714.516.4-1.97
Marcus Smart4751-0.08-0.420.33-0.235-111613.714.0-0.2316.016.3-0.32
Kelly Olynyk6163-0.13-0.370.24-0.4511-172813.314.9-1.6215.916.5-0.56
Evan Turner4446-0.16-0.340.17-0.253-91214.513.31.1415.816.5-0.67
Amir Johnson4947-0.24-0.260.02-0.04-71-813.614.1-0.5616.915.41.51
Avery Bradley7274-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.19-60-613.116.1-2.9616.315.60.69
Jared Sullinger2527-0.49-0.01-0.480.07-1913-3214.613.61.0815.916.2-0.34
Isaiah Thomas7170-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.14-126-1814.013.30.7416.216.00.24
Jae Crowder6463-0.570.07-0.64-0.16-148-2213.813.80.0115.816.8-0.97

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Lowry73740.61-0.110.730.1416-102616.215.90.3414.212.41.81
Jonas Valanciunas57580.60-0.100.700.0120-143416.815.21.5513.514.4-0.88
DeMar DeRozan76760.58-0.080.660.2013-72016.116.3-0.2513.515.1-1.51
Terrence Ross58570.340.160.180.43-39-1216.216.10.1013.414.5-1.05
Patrick Patterson54520.280.220.060.46-612-1815.916.4-0.5513.714.0-0.33
Luis Scola48480.170.33-0.15-0.1210-41416.615.70.9714.113.60.49
James Johnson39380.160.34-0.18-0.119-31216.116.2-0.1014.513.41.05
Bismack Biyombo3532-0.060.56-0.620.29-1218-3014.816.9-2.0914.313.60.76
Cory Joseph4540-0.190.69-0.890.30-1723-4016.116.2-0.0813.714.0-0.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.55,0.85,0.85,1
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 96, POR 1010.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.91,1,192.6%
BOS 88, NYK 960.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.59,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.69,0.71,0.9,1,192.4%
VAN 91, LAL 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.52,0.68,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.54,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.92,191.8%