NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	132		Excitement	7.0 [444]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +58.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	140		Comeback	1.3 [853]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -9.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0.46	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46	0.16	0.36	0.06	15	77%	0.48	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.01	0.05	11	69%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Dwight Howard	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.18	-0.03	0.10	16	72%	0.18	4	-0.13	18	78%	-0.01
Montrezl Harrell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KJ McDaniels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	58%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Clint Capela	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Ty Lawson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Beverley	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	10	37%	-0.03	3	-0.05	7	29%	-0.06
James Harden	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	12	54%	-0.03	3	-0.07	13	62%	-0.05

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59	0.59	0.36	0.24	0.01	19	85%	0.61	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.13
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.13	0.00	15	57%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.03	0.03	7	73%	0.11	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.04
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.02	9	57%	0.10	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	12	46%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.11	-0.08	0.05	15	72%	0.07	5	-0.09	9	78%	-0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.0	2.8	33.2	17.6	35.6	3.6	41.2	2.5	15.0	177.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +41.6%

LAC +11.7%

HOU -7.1%

LAC +9.9%

HOU -6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	14.2	14.5	14.9	118.9	127.3	105.1
season	14.0	14.8		105.9	106.6
opponent	14.9	15.1		102.1	106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	16.6	13.0	15.3	11.8	15.2	14.2
LAC	12.2	14.7	14.1	16.5	16.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	32	32	0.36	-0.86	1.23	0.01	12	-20	32	11.7	15.3	-3.62	13.3	15.1	-1.74
Montrezl Harrell	10	10	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.09	6	-14	20	13.3	14.3	-1.03	15.4	14.5	0.94
KJ McDaniels	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-8	8	3.0	14.3	-11.34	23.0	14.5	8.53
Marcus Thornton	47	45	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.24	8	-16	24	13.0	15.1	-2.10	15.6	13.8	1.75
Corey Brewer	46	45	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-11	14	13.6	14.7	-1.11	13.4	15.3	-1.90
Patrick Beverley	33	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-5	2	15.3	13.8	1.52	14.0	14.8	-0.82
Clint Capela	36	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-2	-4	15.4	13.7	1.71	13.1	15.2	-2.06
Ty Lawson	46	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-1	-6	14.5	14.0	0.49	15.3	14.0	1.30
Trevor Ariza	77	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-2	-4	14.5	13.7	0.72	15.7	12.0	3.68
Dwight Howard	93	93	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-4	0	14.1	14.8	-0.65	15.2	10.7	4.54
Terrence Jones	47	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.08	-18	10	-28	14.9	13.8	1.11	12.7	16.0	-3.33
James Harden	82	83	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.11	-15	7	-22	14.7	12.8	1.95	14.4	15.0	-0.65

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	75	75	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.76	0	8	-8	14.6	14.5	0.09	13.9	14.8	-0.89
JJ Redick	79	78	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.09	17	-9	26	14.6	14.4	0.18	14.7	13.2	1.45
Chris Paul	87	88	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.16	14	-6	20	14.2	15.7	-1.51	14.7	12.5	2.21
Wesley Johnson	48	46	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.11	8	0	8	13.2	15.6	-2.34	14.2	14.3	-0.14
Paul Pierce	41	40	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	1	6	15.2	14.2	1.04	15.4	13.6	1.86
DeAndre Jordan	84	86	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	6	-4	14.7	14.0	0.76	14.2	14.2	0.04
Cole Aldrich	24	24	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	6	-4	14.1	14.7	-0.54	14.7	14.1	0.55
Pablo Prigioni	23	23	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.11	-6	14	-20	15.7	14.2	1.51	12.5	14.7	-2.21
Luc Mbah a Moute	41	42	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.29	0	8	-8	15.4	14.0	1.42	14.6	14.0	0.66
Austin Rivers	39	43	-0.59	1.09	-1.67	-0.23	-12	20	-32	13.8	14.9	-1.12	12.0	15.6	-3.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.86,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,0.98,0.46,0.68,0.84,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 108, IND 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.74,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.46,0.61,0.84,0.96,0.98,1	93.3%
MIA 116, MEM 126	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.89,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.91,1,1	91.9%
OKC 95, MEM 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.81,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.46,0.32,0.63,0.91,0.92,1	91.3%