NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Excitement	5.8 [665]		MVP	David West (SAS): +20.2%
San Antonio Spurs	99		Comeback	4.0 [575]		LVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): -9.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	13	65%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	11	67%	0.11	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.01	3	117%	0.09	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jared Cunningham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,0	-0.06	0.05	-0.01	17	44%	0.10	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Timofey Mozgov	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.03	17	58%	0.07	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	8	31%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.07	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	10	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.10	0.00	7	76%	0.20	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	18	60%	0.12	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	14	59%	0.13	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	10	41%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	12	38%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.8	28.2	17.6	27.4	3.5	38.5	142.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +8.8%

SAS +8.0%

SAS +8.1%

SAS +25.2%

CLE -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SAS	NBA	CLE	SAS	NBA
this game	15.0	15.1	14.9	100.0	103.1	105.1
season	15.8	15.7		110.3	109.0
opponent	14.7	14.9		97.9	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.0	13.0	16.3	15.2	15.0
SAS	15.3	14.7	15.7	14.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	71	73	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.41	9	-13	22	15.5	13.6	1.94	15.5	13.9	1.59
Kevin Love	74	73	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.34	6	-10	16	14.5	16.9	-2.34	15.6	13.7	1.94
J.R. Smith	63	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-8	12	15.0	15.2	-0.24	15.9	13.5	2.44
Timofey Mozgov	30	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	2	-8	15.2	15.0	0.20	15.0	15.2	-0.19
Matthew Dellavedova	36	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-2	0	16.8	13.9	2.90	15.1	15.2	-0.12
Tristan Thompson	70	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.33	1	-5	6	14.8	15.6	-0.83	15.2	14.8	0.44
Richard Jefferson	24	25	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	8	-20	15.5	14.9	0.57	13.2	15.8	-2.60
Iman Shumpert	39	39	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.03	-13	9	-22	14.6	15.3	-0.71	13.8	16.0	-2.15
Kyrie Irving	68	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.27	-7	3	-10	14.5	16.5	-2.03	14.9	15.7	-0.86

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	38	36	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.09	16	-12	28	13.9	15.9	-1.99	15.5	14.7	0.80
Tony Parker	69	71	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.23	7	-3	10	15.1	15.1	0.07	14.9	15.5	-0.57
Manu Ginobili	54	53	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	0	4	14.0	16.6	-2.66	14.4	15.8	-1.39
Tim Duncan	64	64	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	1	2	15.7	13.9	1.78	15.3	14.4	0.96
Kawhi Leonard	78	77	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.38	-5	9	-14	15.4	13.8	1.59	15.5	13.2	2.23
Kyle Anderson	10	11	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	-1	6	12.7	15.4	-2.71	18.9	14.5	4.39
Jonathon Simmons	19	19	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	-1	6	15.5	15.0	0.50	14.8	15.1	-0.30
Danny Green	43	42	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.12	1	3	-2	15.3	14.9	0.41	15.0	15.1	-0.06
Patty Mills	27	24	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.15	-3	7	-10	15.1	15.1	-0.07	15.5	14.9	0.57
LaMarcus Aldridge	56	58	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.28	-9	13	-22	16.0	13.9	2.10	14.8	15.4	-0.66
Boris Diaw	23	21	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.01	-6	10	-16	14.7	15.3	-0.56	11.9	15.9	-4.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.66,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 79, MEM 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.4%
CLE 86, DAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.59,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.62,0.76,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	92.4%
PHI 80, CHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.97,1,1	92.4%