NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	86		Excitement	5.8 [622]		MVP	Rodrigue Beaubois (DAL): +27.5%
Dallas Mavericks	96		Comeback	3.3 [682]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -12.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tristan Thompson	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	8	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
CJ Miles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	6	53%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Luke Walton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	75%	0.14	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.02	11	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	11	46%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Tyler Zeller	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	12	37%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	0.04	19	49%	0.05	5	-0.16	5	40%	-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.14	0.12	-0.01	10	75%	0.27	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.09	0.01	8	72%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	-0.01	0.08	-0.05	9	65%	0.17	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	78%	0.09	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Chris Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bernard James	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	6	58%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	10	45%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	17	38%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	27.5	16.6	27.0	3.5	30.5	129.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +40.2%

CLE -5.0%

DAL +4.2%

DAL +10.3%

DAL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DAL	NBA	CLE	DAL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.7	15.4	90.5	100.0	104.1
season	15.5	14.5		102.5	104.3
opponent	15.6	15.2		105.0	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.8	14.8	16.7	14.8	15.5
DAL	17.0	13.4	14.0	14.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alonzo Gee	62	64	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.09	5	-15	20	15.6	15.2	0.45	16.1	11.9	4.17
Shaun Livingston	72	74	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.16	6	-16	22	15.3	16.0	-0.64	15.6	11.7	3.84
Tyler Zeller	58	59	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-13	16	16.4	14.0	2.46	15.2	13.9	1.25
Tristan Thompson	56	59	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-11	12	15.7	15.2	0.46	15.1	14.1	1.03
Marreese Speights	29	29	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	0	-10	14.4	15.9	-1.48	13.2	15.3	-2.07
Luke Walton	40	38	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	3	-16	15.5	15.5	0.05	14.1	15.1	-1.05
Dion Waiters	72	74	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	-1	-8	15.8	14.5	1.31	14.4	15.7	-1.35
Daniel Gibson	46	44	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.02	-17	7	-24	15.2	15.7	-0.50	13.7	15.5	-1.77
CJ Miles	40	39	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.10	-16	6	-22	14.3	16.3	-2.03	12.8	16.0	-3.23

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	70	67	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.12	21	-11	32	14.1	16.2	-2.12	16.8	12.4	4.37
Brandan Wright	53	52	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.13	19	-9	28	13.6	16.1	-2.50	15.5	15.4	0.06
Rodrigue Beaubois	45	45	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.25	12	-2	14	13.6	15.6	-2.01	15.1	15.8	-0.73
Darren Collison	46	45	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-2	14	15.2	14.2	1.06	15.2	15.8	-0.60
Dirk Nowitzki	66	65	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	4	2	14.4	15.3	-0.89	15.0	16.4	-1.35
Mike James	44	43	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	9	-8	14.1	15.2	-1.02	15.2	15.7	-0.48
Chris Wright	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	10.0	14.8	-4.79	6.0	15.7	-9.68
Vince Carter	50	52	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	12	-14	16.0	13.2	2.78	14.5	16.7	-2.15
Bernard James	6	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	13	-16	18.0	14.5	3.53	12.8	15.7	-2.82
Elton Brand	35	34	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	14	-18	15.0	14.5	0.45	15.0	15.7	-0.74
O.J. Mayo	54	55	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	13	-16	15.4	13.8	1.65	16.2	14.4	1.77
Chris Kaman	9	9	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.07	-7	17	-24	19.0	14.2	4.76	20.3	15.0	5.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.59,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.62,0.76,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 76, PHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%
MIL 101, MIN 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%
PHX 73, SEA 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.59,0.77,0.86,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1	92.9%