inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 90 Excitement4.7 [892] MVPGerald Green (MIA): +18.2%
Los Angeles Clippers 104 Comeback5.5 [449] LVPTyler Johnson (MIA): -14.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gerald Green0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.090.05-0.041463%0.191-0.00250%-0.02
Luol Deng0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.01-0.03750%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Beno Udrih0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.01757%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Udonis Haslem0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Richardson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.000100%0.0010.002100%0.00
Hassan Whiteside-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.06-0.01-0.05562%0.035-0.05667%-0.00
Justise Winslow-0.040,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01633%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Chris Bosh-0.070,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.001138%-0.051-0.02771%-0.01
Dwyane Wade-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.040.011055%0.067-0.19944%-0.05
Tyler Johnson-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.06-0.040.04747%-0.034-0.113100%0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.120.020.021075%0.1200.0000%0.00
JJ Redick0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.040.001060%0.0900.0000%0.00
Cole Aldrich0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.011454%0.082-0.06771%-0.00
Lance Stephenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.02-0.011543%0.0200.005100%0.02
Josh Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.01-0.031141%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
CJ Wilcox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Austin Rivers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.030.010.04657%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.011742%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Pablo Prigioni0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.000.011100%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Wesley Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00550%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.53.331.316.531.43.730.5140.3
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAC +7.5%
LAC +1.5%
LAC +5.4%
LAC +34.1%
LAC +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIALACNBAMIALACNBA
this game14.015.014.990.0105.1105.1
season15.514.8104.5106.6
opponent14.915.1102.1103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.013.914.114.014.0
LAC13.716.115.314.815.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Johnson62610.02-0.520.54-0.166-202613.215.3-2.1515.414.31.10
Udonis Haslem670.00-0.500.50-0.093-172012.214.1-1.9312.315.2-2.89
Chris Andersen670.00-0.500.50-0.093-172012.214.1-1.9312.315.2-2.89
Josh Richardson780.00-0.500.50-0.062-161813.714.0-0.2912.715.2-2.41
Hassan Whiteside5456-0.05-0.450.400.04-3-11813.614.4-0.7215.614.21.43
Justise Winslow3838-0.09-0.410.32-0.00-3-11815.313.22.1514.515.3-0.76
Gerald Green7068-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.11-5-9413.016.4-3.4114.815.4-0.56
Luol Deng6867-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.09-13-1-1213.614.7-1.0915.314.30.92
Dwyane Wade6363-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.21-9-5-414.014.00.0115.014.90.17
Beno Udrih5856-0.580.08-0.670.21-2713-4015.312.13.2115.114.90.19
Chris Bosh6864-0.590.09-0.680.11-2410-3414.812.22.6814.915.1-0.18

Los Angeles Clippers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
JJ Redick49510.480.020.46-0.0518-42215.015.0-0.0215.212.82.40
Luc Mbah a Moute46470.460.040.420.0215-11615.214.80.4615.612.53.09
Chris Paul58600.440.060.380.031401415.514.21.3215.112.32.72
Paul Pierce41440.390.110.29-0.021401414.915.0-0.1115.512.82.75
Cole Aldrich44470.320.180.140.03104615.714.41.2416.112.13.97
Josh Smith46440.140.36-0.220.08212-1014.315.5-1.2011.915.6-3.78
Jamal Crawford56560.100.40-0.29-0.01410-615.314.50.8513.015.3-2.31
Wesley Johnson50480.090.41-0.330.12-115-1615.214.70.5512.415.4-3.05
Pablo Prigioni34340.060.44-0.38-0.03311-814.615.2-0.5812.414.8-2.42
Austin Rivers51510.040.46-0.420.10-216-1814.215.8-1.5612.215.8-3.56
CJ Wilcox760.000.50-0.500.09-317-2012.315.2-2.8912.214.1-1.93
Lance Stephenson1312-0.030.53-0.560.09-418-2214.615.0-0.4114.913.91.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 105, POR 1120.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.28,0.35,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,193.7%
ORL 103, MIN 1200.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,193.1%
POR 73, DAL 820.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,1,192.8%