NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	73		Excitement	5.4 [718]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +3.0%
Dallas Mavericks	82		Comeback	4.2 [664]		LVP	Ruben Patterson (POR): -14.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	46%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Qyntel Woods	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	3	40%	-0.03	2	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	6	56%	0.02	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	7	44%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Dale Davis	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	7	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.03	-0.05	21	31%	-0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	7	36%	-0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	0.05	10	59%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	7	25%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	22	54%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	0	100%	0.01	2	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Adam Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	9	28%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	4	83%	0.05	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	0.03	-0.03	24	44%	0.05	6	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	10	52%	-0.01	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.7	27.0	15.8	27.5	1.8	29.0	126.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +30.7%

DAL +6.7%

DAL +8.5%

DAL +0.7%

DAL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	16.8	14.8	15.5	79.3	91.1	101.6
season	16.0	15.1		104.3	108.6
opponent	15.3	15.7		102.0	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.1	17.3	17.2	15.7	16.8
DAL	14.2	14.6	14.0	16.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Qyntel Woods	29	27	0.15	-0.66	0.81	-0.23	13	-22	35	13.3	18.5	-5.20	14.6	14.9	-0.23
Zach Randolph	42	41	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.27	8	-17	25	16.0	17.5	-1.54	15.6	14.1	1.55
Jeff McInnis	41	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.23	4	-13	17	14.9	18.4	-3.53	15.3	14.4	0.96
Rasheed Wallace	76	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	0	-9	17.8	12.4	5.33	15.0	13.9	1.11
Arvydas Sabonis	43	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	1	-11	17.6	16.2	1.44	14.4	15.1	-0.69
Antonio Daniels	51	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	0	-9	16.9	16.8	0.06	14.2	15.5	-1.28
Dale Davis	33	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.00	-12	3	-15	18.3	16.0	2.29	14.7	14.8	-0.13
Scottie Pippen	46	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.15	-7	-2	-5	17.0	16.7	0.28	15.6	13.9	1.68
Damon Stoudamire	56	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-1	-7	17.2	16.3	0.83	14.4	15.4	-0.96
Ruben Patterson	43	42	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	6	-21	17.8	16.0	1.79	13.9	15.5	-1.61

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	81	84	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.03	18	-9	27	14.6	16.7	-2.09	17.3	12.4	4.89
Shawn Bradley	70	70	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.00	18	-9	27	15.2	13.4	1.79	17.8	13.7	4.09
Dirk Nowitzki	78	81	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	-2	13	15.1	12.8	2.26	17.8	9.6	8.18
Steve Nash	68	70	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	1	7	15.6	12.2	3.39	18.2	12.4	5.82
Adrian Griffin	29	30	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	0	9	14.9	14.8	0.11	17.3	16.6	0.74
Eduardo Najera	42	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	7	-5	13.3	16.1	-2.82	15.4	18.0	-2.64
Avery Johnson	22	22	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	8	-7	12.2	15.6	-3.39	12.4	18.2	-5.82
Walt Williams	48	50	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.28	-8	17	-25	15.2	14.3	0.85	15.6	18.3	-2.67
Adam Harrington	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	14	-19	11.7	14.9	-3.23	3.0	17.3	-14.30
Raja Bell	9	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.20	-9	18	-27	16.7	14.6	2.09	12.4	17.3	-4.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 94, POR 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.46,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
CLE 83, IND 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
WAS 103, DAL 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.87,1,0.99,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%