NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	83		Excitement	4.4 [740]		MVP	David West (IND): +4.7%
Indiana Pacers	102		Comeback	4.0 [698]		LVP	Alonzo Gee (CLE): -18.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	12	54%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.03	7	57%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lester Hudson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.01	-0.06	6	50%	0.03	5	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	7	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Antawn Jamison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	12	46%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Manny Harris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.01
Donald Sloan	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	9	60%	-0.00	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	12	17%	-0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	7	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	10	60%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	11	56%	0.05	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.01	0.05	8	81%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	33%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	6	21%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	15	55%	0.07	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	8	25%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.07	10	57%	-0.01	2	-0.02	8	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	25.9	15.7	28.4	2.5	30.4	130.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +25.2%

IND +6.0%

IND +16.2%

IND +8.2%

CLE -5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	15.3	15.0	15.6	88.3	106.2	102.8
season	15.5	15.7		99.5	104.2
opponent	15.6	15.6		101.1	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.9	16.2	15.9	14.2	15.3
IND	17.0	15.1	12.9	15.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lester Hudson	40	41	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.17	12	-31	43	14.0	16.3	-2.21	14.9	15.1	-0.13
Luke Walton	49	50	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.02	4	-23	27	14.5	16.2	-1.69	14.4	15.7	-1.29
Omri Casspi	45	47	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.01	3	-22	25	14.1	16.4	-2.27	14.6	15.4	-0.79
Samardo Samuels	57	57	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-22	25	14.6	16.4	-1.75	14.5	15.7	-1.17
Manny Harris	55	58	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-14	9	14.4	16.6	-2.13	14.8	15.3	-0.52
Anthony Parker	35	34	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	-3	-13	16.4	14.7	1.72	15.2	14.9	0.36
Tristan Thompson	37	39	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.12	-22	3	-25	16.4	14.6	1.75	15.7	14.5	1.17
Alonzo Gee	49	49	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	0.05	-22	3	-25	16.4	14.1	2.27	15.4	14.6	0.79
Donald Sloan	58	59	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.25	-29	10	-39	16.4	13.6	2.77	15.1	14.8	0.31
Antawn Jamison	45	46	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	0.04	-23	4	-27	16.2	14.5	1.69	15.7	14.4	1.29

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	48	46	0.65	-0.15	0.79	-0.06	24	-5	29	16.0	14.0	1.96	16.7	14.0	2.74
Danny Granger	50	49	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.02	20	-1	21	15.9	14.0	1.88	16.6	13.9	2.74
George Hill	49	48	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.02	19	0	19	16.0	13.9	2.08	16.6	14.0	2.67
David West	42	42	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	2	15	15.9	14.3	1.57	16.1	14.7	1.49
Paul George	40	40	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.05	14	5	9	16.0	14.3	1.67	16.1	14.8	1.32
Leandro Barbosa	50	49	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.05	3	16	-13	14.6	15.5	-0.88	14.8	15.9	-1.05
Tyler Hansbrough	48	47	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	19	-19	14.6	15.4	-0.79	14.7	15.9	-1.23
Kyrylo Fesenko	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.06	2	17	-15	15.7	14.9	0.84	15.3	15.3	-0.01
Jeff Ayres	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	17	-15	12.0	15.2	-3.20	14.2	15.4	-1.18
Lance Stephenson	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	17	-15	12.0	15.2	-3.20	14.2	15.4	-1.18
A.J. Price	47	46	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	19	-19	13.9	16.0	-2.08	14.0	16.6	-2.67
Dahntay Jones	46	45	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.07	-1	20	-21	14.0	15.9	-1.88	13.9	16.6	-2.74
Lou Amundson	34	35	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	26	-33	13.3	15.9	-2.60	13.5	16.4	-2.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 107, GSW 117	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.36,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
OKC 94, POR 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.46,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
LAL 86, DEN 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%